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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hapoel Tel Aviv v Atalanta: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · DVTK Stadion

Hapoel Tel Aviv

DWLWD
0–1
FT

Atalanta

WDWWL
Hapoel Tel Aviv 11%Draw 21%Atalanta 69% Expected goals 0.54 – 1.82
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.42Odds
U2.5

Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAtalanta to win ✓69% · @1.53
Double chanceAtalanta or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.84

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Atalanta travel to face Hapoel Tel Aviv on Thursday 27 August in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with DVTK Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.

Current form

Hapoel Tel Aviv, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Atalanta, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Atalanta, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sassuolo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Aug 2026) it ended Atalanta 0–0 Hapoel Tel Aviv.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Tel Aviv 0.5 xG, Atalanta 1.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Tel Aviv 11%, draw 21%, Atalanta 69%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.42 – longer than our fair 1.38, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Tel Aviv 0–1 Atalanta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hapoel Tel Aviv11%fair 9.48 · @5.80
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @4.10
Atalanta69%fair 1.45 · @1.53
2.36Expected goals
0.54Hapoel Tel Aviv xG
1.82Atalanta xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–117%
0–216%
0–39%
0–09%
1–19%
1–28%

From our goals model: Hapoel Tel Aviv 0.5 – 1.8 Atalanta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtalanta to win ✓69%1.451.53 ▲
Double chanceAtalanta or draw ✓89%1.121.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.871.75
Draw no betAtalanta (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapAtalanta -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.381.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.952.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.381.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.15
First team to scoreAtalanta to score first ✓70%1.43–
Half-time resultAtalanta ahead at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atalanta / FT Atalanta ✗44%2.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.84–

Recent results

Hapoel Tel Aviv – last 6

DWLWDW
20 Aug@ Atalanta0–0D
16 Aug@ Ironi Kiryat Shmona2–1W
12 Aug@ GKS Katowice1–2L
6 Augvs GKS Katowice2–0W
30 Jul@ Ludogorets2–2D
23 Julvs Ludogorets2–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Atalanta – last 6

WDWWLD
23 Augvs Sassuolo2–1W
20 Augvs Hapoel Tel Aviv0–0D
14 Augvs Athletic Club1–0W
8 Aug@ FC Schalke 043–0W
2 Aug@ Feyenoord1–2L
22 May@ Fiorentina1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Aug 2026Atalanta v Hapoel Tel Aviv0–0
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta head-to-head page →

UEFA Europa Conference League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Lugano3300+79
2Panathinaikos3300+69
3Twente3300+69
4Monaco3300+69
5Brighton3210+57
6Brann3210+47
7FC Copenhagen3210+47
8Universitatea Craiova3210+47
9Mjallby AIF3210+47
10St. Truiden3210+37
11Ajax3201+66
12Trabzonspor3201+36
13HNK Hajduk Split3201+16
14SC Freiburg3201-16
15FK Crvena Zvezda311104
16Atalanta311104
17SC Braga3111-14
18Gent3111-14
19Riga303003
20FC Thun310203
21Borac Banja Luka3102-13
22Lincoln Red Imps FC3102-33
23FK Jablonec3021-12
24Aarhus3021-12
25FC Nordsjaelland3021-22
26Egnatia Rrogozhinë3021-22
27Kairat Almaty3021-42
28CSKA Sofia3012-21
29FC Iberia 19993012-31
30Pafos3012-41
31Getafe3012-41
32Heart Of Midlothian3012-41
33KuPS3012-41
34FC Midtjylland3012-61
35Inter Club d'Escaldes3003-50
36Kauno Žalgiris3003-100

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

League hub
FT KuPS1 Shamrock Rovers0 147%1.96X23%3.30231%3.90 1.2–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 81%@1.20 ✓
FT FK Jablonec1 Rangers0 Pens 4–3 146%2.88X22%3.35232%2.35 1.4–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✓
FT Maccabi Tel Aviv1 FC Lugano1 138%2.30X21%3.50241%2.85 1.4–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓
FT Qarabag1 Twente2 AET 1–4 138%3.10X21%3.50240%2.18 1.4–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT SC Freiburg4 Motherwell1 174%1.22X19%6.2026%11.50 2.4–0.7xG 1SC Freiburg to win 74%@1.22 ✓
FT Monaco4 Gornik Zabrze1 165%1.35X22%4.85213%8.20 2.8–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.55 ✓
FT Brann3 PAOK2 139%2.88X22%3.35239%2.36 1.5–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.30 ✓
FT FC Copenhagen4 Inter Turku1 174%1.29X18%5.2028%9.60 2.3–0.7xG 1FC Copenhagen to win 74%@1.29 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta?

On our numbers Hapoel Tel Aviv have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atalanta 69%.

How many goals will there be in Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta?

Our predicted score is Hapoel Tel Aviv 0–1 Atalanta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta?

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at DVTK Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.