FC Lugano v Maccabi Tel Aviv Prediction & Expected Goals (20 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultDraw ✗51% · @3.45

Double chanceFC Lugano or draw ✓83% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.70

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗6% · fair 16.58

FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 20 August the UEFA Europa Conference League brings FC Lugano against Maccabi Tel Aviv at AIL Arena. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT.

Current form

FC Lugano, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 10–1 win over Vedeggio, away. The attack is flying at 4.7 goals per game.

Maccabi Tel Aviv, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Maccabi Netanya, away. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Lugano 1.6 xG, Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – FC Lugano 32%, draw 51%, Maccabi Tel Aviv 17%.
Lower-risk option: FC Lugano or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was FC Lugano or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Lugano 1–1 Maccabi Tel Aviv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Lugano32%fair 3.15 · @1.97

Draw51%fair 1.95 · @3.45

Maccabi Tel Aviv17%fair 5.88 · @3.65

2.95Expected goals

1.64FC Lugano xG

1.31Maccabi Tel Aviv xG

62%Both score

53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

2–19%

1–09%

1–27%

2–07%

0–17%

From our goals model: FC Lugano 1.6 – 1.3 Maccabi Tel Aviv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Draw ✗	51%	1.95	3.45 ▲
Double chance	FC Lugano or draw ✓	83%	1.20	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	62%	1.61	1.70 ▲
Draw no bet	FC Lugano (draw no bet) ✓	65%	1.54	–
Asian handicap	Maccabi Tel Aviv +1 (Asian handicap)	70%	1.43	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	53%	1.89	1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	68%	1.46	1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	84%	1.20	1.11
First team to score	FC Lugano to score first ✓	53%	1.90	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	40%	2.51	–
Half-time / full-time	HT FC Lugano / FT FC Lugano ✓	27%	3.67	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–2 ✗	6%	16.58	–

FC Lugano – last 6

WDWWWW

16 Aug	@ Vedeggio	10–1	W
13 Aug	@ NSI Runavik	2–2	D
9 Aug	vs FC Zurich	5–0	W
6 Aug	vs NSI Runavik	2–0	W
2 Aug	@ Grasshoppers	4–1	W
29 Jul	@ Dukagjini	5–1	W

4.7Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Maccabi Tel Aviv – last 6

WWLWWW

16 Aug	@ Maccabi Netanya	1–0	W
13 Aug	@ CSKA Sofia	3–1	W
6 Aug	vs CSKA Sofia	0–3	L
30 Jul	vs Sheriff Tiraspol	1–0	W
23 Jul	@ Sheriff Tiraspol	5–0	W
16 Jul	@ Hapoel Beer Sheva	3–1	W

2.2Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Twente	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Brann	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	FC Copenhagen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Universitatea Craiova	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Mjallby AIF	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	St. Truiden	3	2	1	0	+3	7
11	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+6	6
12	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	HNK Hajduk Split	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	SC Freiburg	3	2	0	1	-1	6
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	3	1	1	1	0	4
16	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	0	4
17	SC Braga	3	1	1	1	-1	4
18	Gent	3	1	1	1	-1	4
19	Riga	3	0	3	0	0	3
20	FC Thun	3	1	0	2	0	3
21	Borac Banja Luka	3	1	0	2	-1	3
22	Lincoln Red Imps FC	3	1	0	2	-3	3
23	FK Jablonec	3	0	2	1	-1	2
24	Aarhus	3	0	2	1	-1	2
25	FC Nordsjaelland	3	0	2	1	-2	2
26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3	0	2	1	-2	2
27	Kairat Almaty	3	0	2	1	-4	2
28	CSKA Sofia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
29	FC Iberia 1999	3	0	1	2	-3	1
30	Pafos	3	0	1	2	-4	1
31	Getafe	3	0	1	2	-4	1
32	Heart Of Midlothian	3	0	1	2	-4	1
33	KuPS	3	0	1	2	-4	1
34	FC Midtjylland	3	0	1	2	-6	1
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Team

Pts

Universitatea Craiova

-1

-1

-1

-1

-3

-1

-1

-2

-2

-4

-2

-3

-4

-4

-4

-4

-6

Inter Club d'Escaldes

-5

Kauno Žalgiris

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

Our pick is FC Lugano or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

On our numbers FC Lugano have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 51% and Maccabi Tel Aviv 17%.

How many goals will there be in FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

Our predicted score is FC Lugano 1–1 Maccabi Tel Aviv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at AIL Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

FC Lugano v Maccabi Tel Aviv: numbers & prediction