Motherwell vs SC Freiburg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Motherwell welcome SC Freiburg to Fir Park for a UEFA Europa Conference League fixture on Thursday 20 August (19:30 WAT).
Current form
Motherwell, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Stenhousemuir, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
SC Freiburg, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Crystal Palace, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Motherwell 0.7 xG, SC Freiburg 2.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Motherwell 12%, draw 19%, SC Freiburg 69%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was SC Freiburg to win (69%, odds 1.41). Most likely score in line with that pick: Motherwell 0–2 SC Freiburg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Motherwell12%fair 8.34 · @7.10
Draw19%fair 5.40 · @4.60
SC Freiburg69%fair 1.44 · @1.41
2.68Expected goals
0.67Motherwell xG
2.01SC Freiburg xG
56%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–214%
0–114%
0–39%
1–29%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Motherwell 0.7 – 2.0 SC Freiburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SC Freiburg to win✓
69%
1.44
1.41
Double chance
SC Freiburg or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.73
Draw no bet
SC Freiburg (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
SC Freiburg -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.20
First team to score
SC Freiburg to score first
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
SC Freiburg ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SC Freiburg / FT SC Freiburg✗
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.78
–
Recent results
Motherwell – last 6
DWDDWW
16 Aug
@ Stenhousemuir
0–0
D
13 Aug
vs HJK Helsinki
2–0
W
9 Aug
vs Falkirk
0–0
D
6 Aug
@ HJK Helsinki
1–1
D
2 Aug
@ Hibernian
2–1
W
30 Jul
@ HB Torshavn
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
SC Freiburg – last 6
WWWLLW
15 Aug
vs Crystal Palace
3–0
W
8 Aug
vs Strasbourg
2–0
W
24 Jul
vs Derby
3–1
W
20 May
vs Aston Villa
0–3
L
10 May
@ Hamburger SV
2–3
L
7 May
vs SC Braga
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Motherwell and SC Freiburg.
What is the prediction for Motherwell vs SC Freiburg?
Our pick is SC Freiburg to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Motherwell vs SC Freiburg?
On our numbers Motherwell have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 19% and SC Freiburg 69%.
How many goals will there be in Motherwell vs SC Freiburg?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Motherwell vs SC Freiburg?
Our predicted score is Motherwell 0–2 SC Freiburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Motherwell vs SC Freiburg?
Motherwell vs SC Freiburg (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Fir Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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