Shamrock Rovers v KuPS Prediction & Expected Goals (20 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultDraw ✓51% · @3.50

Double chanceShamrock Rovers or draw ✓83% · @1.28

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✓12% · fair 8.17

Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Thursday 20 August: Shamrock Rovers v KuPS in the UEFA Europa Conference League, played at Tallaght Stadium.

Current form

Shamrock Rovers, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with St Patrick's Athl., away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

KuPS, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Lahti, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Shamrock Rovers, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for KuPS.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shamrock Rovers 1.5 xG, KuPS 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Shamrock Rovers 32%, draw 51%, KuPS 17%.
Lower-risk option: Shamrock Rovers or draw (83%) at 1.28.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Shamrock Rovers or draw (83%, odds 1.28 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shamrock Rovers 1–1 KuPS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shamrock Rovers32%fair 3.15 · @1.97

Draw51%fair 1.96 · @3.50

KuPS17%fair 5.82 · @3.60

2.65Expected goals

1.48Shamrock Rovers xG

1.17KuPS xG

58%Both score

49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–010%

2–19%

0–18%

2–08%

1–27%

From our goals model: Shamrock Rovers 1.5 – 1.2 KuPS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Draw ✓	51%	1.96	3.50 ▲
Double chance	Shamrock Rovers or draw ✓	83%	1.21	1.28 ▲
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	58%	1.73	1.73
Draw no bet	Shamrock Rovers (draw no bet)	65%	1.54	–
Asian handicap	KuPS +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	72%	1.39	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	74%	1.36	1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	51%	1.97	1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	72%	1.39	1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	1.11
First team to score	Shamrock Rovers to score first	52%	1.92	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	43%	2.35	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Shamrock Rovers / FT Shamrock Rovers ✗	26%	3.80	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–1 ✓	12%	8.17	–

Shamrock Rovers – last 6

DLWWDW

16 Aug	@ St Patrick's Athl.	2–2	D
13 Aug	@ Egnatia Rrogozhinë	1–5	L
7 Aug	vs Dundalk	3–2	W
4 Aug	vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3–1	W
31 Jul	@ Drogheda United	0–0	D
28 Jul	vs Ararat-Armenia	2–1	W

1.8Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

KuPS – last 6

WLDDWL

16 Aug	@ Lahti	2–1	W
13 Aug	@ Universitatea Craiova	1–2	L
9 Aug	vs Turku PS	1–1	D
6 Aug	vs Universitatea Craiova	1–1	D
1 Aug	@ Gnistan	1–0	W
28 Jul	vs Sabah FA	0–2	L

1.0Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Twente	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Brann	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	FC Copenhagen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Universitatea Craiova	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Mjallby AIF	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	St. Truiden	3	2	1	0	+3	7
11	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+6	6
12	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	HNK Hajduk Split	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	SC Freiburg	3	2	0	1	-1	6
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	3	1	1	1	0	4
16	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	0	4
17	SC Braga	3	1	1	1	-1	4
18	Gent	3	1	1	1	-1	4
19	Riga	3	0	3	0	0	3
20	FC Thun	3	1	0	2	0	3
21	Borac Banja Luka	3	1	0	2	-1	3
22	Lincoln Red Imps FC	3	1	0	2	-3	3
23	FK Jablonec	3	0	2	1	-1	2
24	Aarhus	3	0	2	1	-1	2
25	FC Nordsjaelland	3	0	2	1	-2	2
26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3	0	2	1	-2	2
27	Kairat Almaty	3	0	2	1	-4	2
28	CSKA Sofia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
29	FC Iberia 1999	3	0	1	2	-3	1
30	Pafos	3	0	1	2	-4	1
31	Getafe	3	0	1	2	-4	1
32	Heart Of Midlothian	3	0	1	2	-4	1
33	KuPS	3	0	1	2	-4	1
34	FC Midtjylland	3	0	1	2	-6	1
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Team

Pts

Universitatea Craiova

-1

-1

-1

-1

-3

-1

-1

-2

-2

-4

-2

-3

-4

-4

-4

-4

-6

Inter Club d'Escaldes

-5

Kauno Žalgiris

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS?

Our pick is Shamrock Rovers or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS?

On our numbers Shamrock Rovers have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 51% and KuPS 17%.

How many goals will there be in Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS?

Our predicted score is Shamrock Rovers 1–1 KuPS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS?

Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Tallaght Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Shamrock Rovers v KuPS: numbers & prediction

Shamrock Rovers