Brighton v Tromso Prediction & Expected Goals (27 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultBrighton to win ✓75% · @1.13

Double chanceBrighton or draw ✓88% · @1.03

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.67

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.11

Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 9.70

Brighton vs Tromso: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 27 August the UEFA Europa Conference League brings Brighton against Tromso at American Express Stadium. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT.

Current form

Brighton, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Aston Villa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 1 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Tromso, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Ulfstind, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Aug 2026) it ended Tromso 0–0 Brighton.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Brighton 2.1 xG, Tromso 0.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 60%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Brighton 75%, draw 14%, Tromso 12%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.83 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brighton 2–0 Tromso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Brighton75%fair 1.34 · @1.13

Draw14%fair 7.18 · @7.40

Tromso12%fair 8.69 · @19.50

2.77Expected goals

2.14Brighton xG

0.62Tromso xG

49%Both score

60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–014%

1–013%

3–010%

2–19%

1–18%

3–16%

From our goals model: Brighton 2.1 – 0.6 Tromso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Brighton to win ✓	75%	1.34	1.13
Double chance	Brighton or draw ✓	88%	1.13	1.03
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	51%	1.96	1.67
Draw no bet	Brighton (draw no bet) ✓	87%	1.15	–
Asian handicap	Brighton -1 (Asian handicap) ✓	64%	1.57	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	81%	1.24	1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	60%	1.66	1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	61%	1.65	1.83 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	77%	1.29	1.35
First team to score	Brighton to score first ✓	73%	1.38	–
Half-time result	Brighton ahead at half-time ✓	52%	1.94	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Brighton / FT Brighton ✓	48%	2.08	–
Correct score	Correct score 3–0 ✗	10%	9.70	–

Brighton – last 6

WDWWWL

23 Aug	vs Aston Villa	4–0	W
20 Aug	@ Tromso	0–0	D
15 Aug	vs Bologna	1–0	W
8 Aug	vs AS Roma	3–0	W
1 Aug	vs Strasbourg	4–3	W
24 May	vs Manchester United	0–3	L

2.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

17%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Tromso – last 6

WDLWWW

22 Aug	@ Ulfstind	5–0	W
20 Aug	vs Brighton	0–0	D
16 Aug	@ Molde	2–3	L
13 Aug	vs CFR 1907 Cluj	2–1	W
6 Aug	@ CFR 1907 Cluj	5–0	W
2 Aug	@ Aalesund	6–2	W

3.3Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Twente	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Brann	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	FC Copenhagen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Universitatea Craiova	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Mjallby AIF	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	St. Truiden	3	2	1	0	+3	7
11	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+6	6
12	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	HNK Hajduk Split	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	SC Freiburg	3	2	0	1	-1	6
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	3	1	1	1	0	4
16	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	0	4
17	SC Braga	3	1	1	1	-1	4
18	Gent	3	1	1	1	-1	4
19	Riga	3	0	3	0	0	3
20	FC Thun	3	1	0	2	0	3
21	Borac Banja Luka	3	1	0	2	-1	3
22	Lincoln Red Imps FC	3	1	0	2	-3	3
23	FK Jablonec	3	0	2	1	-1	2
24	Aarhus	3	0	2	1	-1	2
25	FC Nordsjaelland	3	0	2	1	-2	2
26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3	0	2	1	-2	2
27	Kairat Almaty	3	0	2	1	-4	2
28	CSKA Sofia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
29	FC Iberia 1999	3	0	1	2	-3	1
30	Pafos	3	0	1	2	-4	1
31	Getafe	3	0	1	2	-4	1
32	Heart Of Midlothian	3	0	1	2	-4	1
33	KuPS	3	0	1	2	-4	1
34	FC Midtjylland	3	0	1	2	-6	1
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Team

Pts

Universitatea Craiova

-1

-1

-1

-1

-3

-1

-1

-2

-2

-4

-2

-3

-4

-4

-4

-4

-6

Inter Club d'Escaldes

-5

Kauno Žalgiris

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Brighton vs Tromso?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win Brighton vs Tromso?

On our numbers Brighton have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Tromso 12%.

How many goals will there be in Brighton vs Tromso?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Brighton vs Tromso?

Our predicted score is Brighton 2–0 Tromso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Brighton vs Tromso?

Brighton vs Tromso (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at American Express Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Brighton v Tromso: numbers & prediction

Brighton

Tromso

Under 3.5 goals

Picks by market

Brighton vs Tromso: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Current form

Head to head

Where the goals come from

Markets worth a look

Our call before kick-off

Result chances

Score grid: top six

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Recent results

Brighton – last 6

Tromso – last 6

Head to head

UEFA Europa Conference League table

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

Frequently asked questions