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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Pafos v Dinamo Tirana: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Alphamega Stadium

Pafos

DDLWL
2–2
FTAET 4–2
Pafos 71%Draw 22%Dinamo Tirana 7% Expected goals 2.06 – 0.58
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultPafos to win ✗71% · @1.33
Double chancePafos or draw ✓93% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 9.57

Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 27 August the UEFA Europa Conference League brings Pafos against Dinamo Tirana at Alphamega Stadium. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT.

Current form

Pafos, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dinamo Tirana, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Dinamo Tirana, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Vora, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Aug 2026) it ended Dinamo Tirana 1–1 Pafos.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pafos 2.1 xG, Dinamo Tirana 0.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Pafos 71%, draw 22%, Dinamo Tirana 7%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pafos 2–0 Dinamo Tirana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pafos71%fair 1.42 · @1.33
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @4.80
Dinamo Tirana7%fair 13.40 · @8.90
2.64Expected goals
2.06Pafos xG
0.58Dinamo Tirana xG
48%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–015%
1–015%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Pafos 2.1 – 0.6 Dinamo Tirana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPafos to win ✗71%1.421.33
Double chancePafos or draw ✓93%1.081.06
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.931.62
Draw no betPafos (draw no bet)90%1.11–
Asian handicapPafos -1 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.341.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.961.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.421.38
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.171.12
First team to scorePafos to score first73%1.38–
Half-time resultPafos ahead at half-time ✗51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pafos / FT Pafos ✗47%2.11–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10%9.57–

Recent results

Pafos – last 6

DDLWLL
20 Aug@ Dinamo Tirana1–1D
13 Augvs Red Bull Salzburg3–3D
6 Aug@ Red Bull Salzburg0–1L
30 Julvs HNK Hajduk Split2–0W
23 Jul@ HNK Hajduk Split0–2L
16 Jul@ Slovan Bratislava2–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Dinamo Tirana – last 6

LDWLWD
23 Augvs Vora0–1L
20 Augvs Pafos1–1D
13 Augvs Auda4–0W
4 Aug@ Auda0–1L
30 Julvs Aluminij3–0W
23 Jul@ Aluminij1–1D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Aug 2026Dinamo Tirana v Pafos1–1
Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana head-to-head page →

UEFA Europa Conference League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Lugano3300+79
2Panathinaikos3300+69
3Twente3300+69
4Monaco3300+69
5Brighton3210+57
6Brann3210+47
7FC Copenhagen3210+47
8Universitatea Craiova3210+47
9Mjallby AIF3210+47
10St. Truiden3210+37
11Ajax3201+66
12Trabzonspor3201+36
13HNK Hajduk Split3201+16
14SC Freiburg3201-16
15FK Crvena Zvezda311104
16Atalanta311104
17SC Braga3111-14
18Gent3111-14
19Riga303003
20FC Thun310203
21Borac Banja Luka3102-13
22Lincoln Red Imps FC3102-33
23FK Jablonec3021-12
24Aarhus3021-12
25FC Nordsjaelland3021-22
26Egnatia Rrogozhinë3021-22
27Kairat Almaty3021-42
28CSKA Sofia3012-21
29FC Iberia 19993012-31
30Pafos3012-41
31Getafe3012-41
32Heart Of Midlothian3012-41
33KuPS3012-41
34FC Midtjylland3012-61
35Inter Club d'Escaldes3003-50
36Kauno Žalgiris3003-100

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana?

On our numbers Pafos have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dinamo Tirana 7%.

How many goals will there be in Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana?

Our predicted score is Pafos 2–0 Dinamo Tirana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana?

Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Alphamega Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.