Aston Villa 71%Draw 15%Viking 13%Expected goals 3.31 – 1.52
67%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultAston Villa to win ✓71% · @1.18
Double chanceAston Villa or draw ✓87% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.62
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✓7% · fair 13.62
Aston Villa vs Viking: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Viking travel to face Aston Villa on Wednesday 21 October in the UEFA Champions League, with Villa Park the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Aston Villa are 6th, upper half, on 9 points after 4 matches; Viking are 22nd (lower half) with 4.
Current form
Aston Villa, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Newcastle, away. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.
Viking, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Fredrikstad, at home. 3.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aston Villa 3.3 xG, Viking 1.5 xG – a total near 4.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 86% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aston Villa 71%, draw 15%, Viking 13%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.49, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aston Villa 3–1 Viking. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aston Villa71%fair 1.40 · @1.18
Draw15%fair 6.63 · @6.50
Viking13%fair 7.44 · @10.00
4.83Expected goals
3.31Aston Villa xG
1.52Viking xG
67%Both score
86%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–17%
2–17%
4–16%
3–26%
2–25%
3–05%
From our goals model: Aston Villa 3.3 – 1.5 Viking expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aston Villa to win✓
71%
1.40
1.18
Double chance
Aston Villa or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.49
1.62 ▲
Draw no bet
Aston Villa (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Aston Villa -1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
–
First team to score
Aston Villa to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Aston Villa ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aston Villa / FT Aston Villa✓
50%
1.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✓
7%
13.62
–
Recent results
Aston Villa – last 6
WWDWWW
17 Oct
@ Newcastle
1–0
W
14 Oct
vs Fenerbahçe
6–0
W
10 Oct
vs Brentford
2–2
D
2 Oct
@ Sevilla
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Tottenham
3–2
W
16 Sep
@ Coventry
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Viking – last 6
WDWWWW
17 Oct
vs Fredrikstad
3–2
W
13 Oct
vs Bayern München
3–3
D
9 Oct
@ Brann
2–0
W
1 Oct
@ Madla
3–0
W
20 Sep
vs Lillestrom
3–0
W
13 Sep
vs Kristiansund BK
8–1
W
3.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aston Villa and Viking.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Aston Villa vs Viking?
On our numbers Aston Villa have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Viking 13%.
How many goals will there be in Aston Villa vs Viking?
We expect about 4.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 86% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Viking?
Our predicted score is Aston Villa 3–1 Viking, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.8 goals in total.
When is Aston Villa vs Viking?
Aston Villa vs Viking (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Villa Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
