Como 43%Draw 21%Manchester United 36%Expected goals 2.09 – 1.91
68%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Manchester United to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultComo to win ✓43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.07
Como vs Manchester United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:45 WAT, Wednesday 21 October: Como v Manchester United in the UEFA Champions League, played at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia. In the table, Como are 4th, among the top four, on 9 points after 4 matches; Manchester United are 17th (upper half) with 6. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Como, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Fiorentina, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Manchester United, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Leeds, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Como, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Manchester United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Como 2.1 xG, Manchester United 1.9 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Como 43%, draw 21%, Manchester United 36%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Manchester United to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Como 2–1 Manchester United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Como43%fair 2.32 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.60
Manchester United36%fair 2.78 · @3.00
4.00Expected goals
2.09Como xG
1.91Manchester United xG
68%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
1–17%
2–27%
1–27%
3–15%
3–25%
From our goals model: Como 2.1 – 1.9 Manchester United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Como to win✓
43%
2.32
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.48
1.50
Draw no bet
Como (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Manchester United +1 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
Como to score first✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Como ahead at half-time✓
36%
2.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Como / FT Como✓
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.07
–
Recent results
Como – last 6
WLDLWW
18 Oct
@ Fiorentina
3–1
W
14 Oct
@ Feyenoord
2–3
L
11 Oct
vs AS Roma
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Frosinone
0–2
L
14 Sep
vs Parma
2–1
W
10 Sep
vs RB Leipzig
4–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Manchester United – last 6
DLDDLL
18 Oct
@ Leeds
1–1
D
13 Oct
@ Atletico Madrid
0–2
L
10 Oct
vs Tottenham
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Fulham
1–1
D
16 Sep
vs Brighton
2–3
L
13 Sep
vs Manchester City
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Como and Manchester United.
What is the prediction for Como vs Manchester United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Como vs Manchester United?
On our numbers Como have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Manchester United 36%.
How many goals will there be in Como vs Manchester United?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Como vs Manchester United?
Our predicted score is Como 2–1 Manchester United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Como vs Manchester United?
Como vs Manchester United (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
