Real Madrid 68%Draw 18%RB Leipzig 14%Expected goals 2.76 – 1.24
67%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultReal Madrid to win ✓68% · @1.25
Double chanceReal Madrid or draw ✓86% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.56
Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Wednesday 21 October: Real Madrid v RB Leipzig in the UEFA Champions League, played at Santiago Bernabéu Stadium. In the table, Real Madrid are 2nd, among the top four, on 12 points after 4 matches; RB Leipzig are 30th (lower half) with 3.
Current form
Real Madrid, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Sevilla, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
RB Leipzig, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–6 defeat to Bayern München, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Real Madrid, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for RB Leipzig.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Madrid 2.8 xG, RB Leipzig 1.2 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Madrid 68%, draw 18%, RB Leipzig 14%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Madrid 2–1 RB Leipzig. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Madrid68%fair 1.46 · @1.25
Draw18%fair 5.58 · @6.00
RB Leipzig14%fair 7.31 · @8.50
4.00Expected goals
2.76Real Madrid xG
1.24RB Leipzig xG
67%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
3–06%
1–16%
4–16%
From our goals model: Real Madrid 2.8 – 1.2 RB Leipzig expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Madrid to win✓
68%
1.46
1.25
Double chance
Real Madrid or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
1.50
Draw no bet
Real Madrid (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Real Madrid -1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
Real Madrid to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Real Madrid ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Madrid / FT Real Madrid✓
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.56
–
Recent results
Real Madrid – last 6
WWWLWW
18 Oct
vs Sevilla
4–1
W
14 Oct
@ AS Roma
4–3
W
10 Oct
vs Villarreal
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Atletico Madrid
1–2
L
15 Sep
@ Elche
3–2
W
12 Sep
vs Rayo Vallecano
4–1
W
2.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
RB Leipzig – last 6
LWWLWL
17 Oct
@ Bayern München
1–6
L
13 Oct
vs PSV Eindhoven
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
6–0
W
20 Sep
@ Bayer Leverkusen
0–2
L
13 Sep
vs Hamburger SV
5–0
W
10 Sep
@ Como
1–4
L
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Madrid and RB Leipzig.
What is the prediction for Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?
On our numbers Real Madrid have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and RB Leipzig 14%.
How many goals will there be in Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?
Our predicted score is Real Madrid 2–1 RB Leipzig, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?
Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Santiago Bernabéu Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
