Sporting CP v Lask Linz Prediction & Expected Goals (21 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSporting CP to win ✗74% · @1.20

Double chanceSporting CP or draw ✗93% · @1.05

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.73

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27

Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.18

Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Wednesday 21 October: Sporting CP v Lask Linz in the UEFA Champions League, played at Estádio José Alvalade. In the table, Sporting CP are 10th, upper half, on 9 points after 4 matches; Lask Linz are 16th (upper half) with 6. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Sporting CP, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Lens, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Lask Linz, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Austria Lustenau, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Momentum favours Sporting CP, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Lask Linz.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sporting CP 3.1 xG, Lask Linz 1.1 xG – a total near 4.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 79% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting CP 74%, draw 19%, Lask Linz 7%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sporting CP to win (74%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting CP 3–1 Lask Linz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sporting CP74%fair 1.35 · @1.20

Draw19%fair 5.20 · @7.00

Lask Linz7%fair 15.19 · @11.00

4.17Expected goals

3.10Sporting CP xG

1.07Lask Linz xG

64%Both score

79%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–18%

2–18%

3–08%

2–07%

4–16%

4–06%

From our goals model: Sporting CP 3.1 – 1.1 Lask Linz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sporting CP to win ✗	74%	1.35	1.20
Double chance	Sporting CP or draw ✗	93%	1.07	1.05
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	64%	1.56	1.73 ▲
Draw no bet	Sporting CP (draw no bet) ✗	92%	1.09	–
Asian handicap	Sporting CP -1 (Asian handicap) ✗	72%	1.39	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	92%	1.09	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	79%	1.27	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✓	60%	1.67	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	60%	1.68	–
First team to score	Sporting CP to score first	73%	1.37	–
Half-time result	Sporting CP ahead at half-time ✗	59%	1.69	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Sporting CP / FT Sporting CP ✗	55%	1.83	–
Correct score	Correct score 3–1 ✗	8%	12.18	–

Sporting CP – last 6

WWDDWW

13 Oct	@ Lens	2–0	W
9 Oct	@ SC Braga	3–1	W
19 Sep	vs Arouca	2–2	D
13 Sep	@ Famalicao	1–1	D
9 Sep	vs Galatasaray	3–1	W
5 Sep	vs Nacional	2–0	W

2.2Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Lask Linz – last 6

WLLWDL

17 Oct	@ Austria Lustenau	4–0	W
14 Oct	vs Liverpool	3–6	L
11 Oct	vs Rapid Vienna	0–2	L
2 Oct	vs First Vienna	2–1	W
20 Sep	@ TSV Hartberg	3–3	D
13 Sep	@ Sturm Graz	1–2	L

2.2Scored / game

2.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	4	4	0	0	+15	12
2	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Arsenal	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Como	4	3	0	1	+13	9
5	Barcelona	4	3	0	1	+8	9
6	Aston Villa	4	3	0	1	+6	9
7	Manchester City	4	3	0	1	+5	9
8	Liverpool	4	3	0	1	+4	9
9	Club Brugge KV	4	3	0	1	+4	9
10	Sporting CP	4	3	0	1	+4	9
11	Real Betis	4	3	0	1	+2	9
12	Borussia Dortmund	4	3	0	1	+2	9
13	Bayern München	4	2	2	0	+7	8
14	VfB Stuttgart	4	2	1	1	+3	7
15	Inter	4	2	0	2	+2	6
16	Lask Linz	4	2	0	2	+1	6
17	Manchester United	4	2	0	2	0	6
18	Galatasaray	4	2	0	2	-1	6
19	Fenerbahçe	4	1	2	1	-5	5
20	AS Roma	4	1	1	2	+2	4
21	Shakhtar Donetsk	4	1	1	2	0	4
22	Viking	4	1	1	2	-1	4
23	Atletico Madrid	4	1	1	2	-1	4
24	PSV Eindhoven	4	1	1	2	-1	4
25	Bodo/Glimt	4	1	1	2	-5	4
26	FC Porto	4	1	0	3	-1	3
27	Napoli	4	1	0	3	-5	3
28	Villarreal	4	1	0	3	-6	3
29	AEK Athens FC	4	1	0	3	-6	3
30	RB Leipzig	4	1	0	3	-6	3
31	Sabah FA	4	1	0	3	-6	3
32	Feyenoord	4	1	0	3	-7	3
33	Lens	4	1	0	3	-12	3
34	Slavia Praha	4	0	1	3	-4	1
35	Lille	4	0	1	3	-6	1
36	Slovan Bratislava	4	0	0	4	-16	0

Team

Pts

+15

+13

-1

-5

-1

-1

-1

-5

-1

-5

-6

-6

-6

-6

-7

-12

-4

-6

-16

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?

Our pick is Sporting CP to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?

On our numbers Sporting CP have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lask Linz 7%.

How many goals will there be in Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?

We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?

Our predicted score is Sporting CP 3–1 Lask Linz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.

When is Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?

Sporting CP vs Lask Linz (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio José Alvalade.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Sporting CP v Lask Linz: numbers & prediction