Inter v Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction & Expected Goals (21 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultInter to win ✓75% · @1.20

Double chanceInter or draw ✓91% · @1.05

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.65

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.98

Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Wednesday 21 October: Inter v Shakhtar Donetsk in the UEFA Champions League, played at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza. In the table, Inter are 15th, upper half, on 6 points after 4 matches; Shakhtar Donetsk are 21st (lower half) with 4. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Inter, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Bologna, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Shakhtar Donetsk, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kolos Kovalivka, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Shakhtar Donetsk, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.7 for Inter.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Inter 3.0 xG, Shakhtar Donetsk 1.0 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Inter 75%, draw 16%, Shakhtar Donetsk 9%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Inter to win (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Inter 2–1 Shakhtar Donetsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Inter75%fair 1.34 · @1.20

Draw16%fair 6.07 · @7.00

Shakhtar Donetsk9%fair 11.38 · @11.00

4.00Expected goals

2.96Inter xG

1.04Shakhtar Donetsk xG

63%Both score

76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%

3–18%

2–08%

3–08%

4–16%

4–06%

From our goals model: Inter 3.0 – 1.0 Shakhtar Donetsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Inter to win ✓	75%	1.34	1.20
Double chance	Inter or draw ✓	91%	1.10	1.05
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	63%	1.59	1.65
Draw no bet	Inter (draw no bet) ✓	89%	1.12	–
Asian handicap	Inter -1 (Asian handicap)	70%	1.42	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	91%	1.10	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	76%	1.31	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✗	57%	1.77	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	63%	1.59	–
First team to score	Inter to score first ✓	73%	1.38	–
Half-time result	Inter ahead at half-time ✗	58%	1.73	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Inter / FT Inter ✗	53%	1.87	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	11.98	–

Inter – last 6

WLWDWL

17 Oct	@ Bologna	3–1	W
13 Oct	vs Club Brugge KV	3–4	L
10 Oct	vs Parma	3–0	W
19 Sep	@ AS Roma	2–2	D
14 Sep	vs Udinese	5–3	W
8 Sep	@ Real Madrid	1–2	L

2.8Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

83%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Shakhtar Donetsk – last 6

WWWWWW

17 Oct	vs Kolos Kovalivka	2–1	W
14 Oct	vs AEK Athens FC	3–1	W
9 Oct	@ Veres Rivne	3–0	W
20 Sep	vs LNZ Cherkasy	3–0	W
17 Sep	@ Vilkhivtsi	3–0	W
14 Sep	vs Chornomorets	2–0	W

2.7Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	4	4	0	0	+15	12
2	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Arsenal	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Como	4	3	0	1	+13	9
5	Barcelona	4	3	0	1	+8	9
6	Aston Villa	4	3	0	1	+6	9
7	Manchester City	4	3	0	1	+5	9
8	Liverpool	4	3	0	1	+4	9
9	Club Brugge KV	4	3	0	1	+4	9
10	Sporting CP	4	3	0	1	+4	9
11	Real Betis	4	3	0	1	+2	9
12	Borussia Dortmund	4	3	0	1	+2	9
13	Bayern München	4	2	2	0	+7	8
14	VfB Stuttgart	4	2	1	1	+3	7
15	Inter	4	2	0	2	+2	6
16	Lask Linz	4	2	0	2	+1	6
17	Manchester United	4	2	0	2	0	6
18	Galatasaray	4	2	0	2	-1	6
19	Fenerbahçe	4	1	2	1	-5	5
20	AS Roma	4	1	1	2	+2	4
21	Shakhtar Donetsk	4	1	1	2	0	4
22	Viking	4	1	1	2	-1	4
23	Atletico Madrid	4	1	1	2	-1	4
24	PSV Eindhoven	4	1	1	2	-1	4
25	Bodo/Glimt	4	1	1	2	-5	4
26	FC Porto	4	1	0	3	-1	3
27	Napoli	4	1	0	3	-5	3
28	Villarreal	4	1	0	3	-6	3
29	AEK Athens FC	4	1	0	3	-6	3
30	RB Leipzig	4	1	0	3	-6	3
31	Sabah FA	4	1	0	3	-6	3
32	Feyenoord	4	1	0	3	-7	3
33	Lens	4	1	0	3	-12	3
34	Slavia Praha	4	0	1	3	-4	1
35	Lille	4	0	1	3	-6	1
36	Slovan Bratislava	4	0	0	4	-16	0

Team

Pts

+15

+13

-1

-5

-1

-1

-1

-5

-1

-5

-6

-6

-6

-6

-7

-12

-4

-6

-16

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Our pick is Inter to win with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

On our numbers Inter have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Shakhtar Donetsk 9%.

How many goals will there be in Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Our predicted score is Inter 2–1 Shakhtar Donetsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Inter v Shakhtar Donetsk: numbers & prediction