Lille vs Galatasaray: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 21 October the UEFA Champions League brings Lille against Galatasaray at Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Kick-off: 17:45 WAT. In the table, Lille are 35th, in the drop zone, on 1 points after 4 matches; Galatasaray are 18th (upper half) with 6.
Current form
Lille, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Stade Brestois 29, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Galatasaray, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gençlerbirliği S.K., away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lille 2.3 xG, Galatasaray 2.0 xG – a total near 4.3. That is an open game on paper: 80% for three or more goals, 71% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lille 45%, draw 21%, Galatasaray 34%.
GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (71%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.42, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lille 2–1 Galatasaray. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lille45%fair 2.24 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.50
Galatasaray34%fair 2.93 · @3.00
4.25Expected goals
2.26Lille xG
1.99Galatasaray xG
71%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–17%
2–27%
1–16%
1–26%
3–15%
3–25%
From our goals model: Lille 2.3 – 2.0 Galatasaray expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lille to win✗
45%
2.24
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
71%
1.42
1.50 ▲
Draw no bet
Lille (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Galatasaray +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
First team to score
Lille to score first
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Lille ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lille / FT Lille✗
28%
3.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.77
–
Recent results
Lille – last 6
DLWWLW
17 Oct
vs Stade Brestois 29
1–1
D
13 Oct
@ Arsenal
0–3
L
10 Oct
vs Le Havre
1–0
W
2 Oct
vs Zulte Waregem
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Nice
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Estac Troyes
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Galatasaray – last 6
WLWDLW
17 Oct
@ Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1–0
W
13 Oct
vs Barcelona
1–4
L
9 Oct
vs Kasımpaşa
3–1
W
2 Oct
@ Pendikspor
3–3
D
19 Sep
@ Trabzonspor
0–4
L
13 Sep
vs Kocaelispor
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lille and Galatasaray.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Lille vs Galatasaray?
On our numbers Lille have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Galatasaray 34%.
How many goals will there be in Lille vs Galatasaray?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lille vs Galatasaray?
Our predicted score is Lille 2–1 Galatasaray, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Lille vs Galatasaray?
Lille vs Galatasaray (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
