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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Costa Brava v Villa Mitre: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu
1–1
FT
Costa Brava 39%Draw 26%Villa Mitre 35% Expected goals 0.92 – 0.86
70%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultCosta Brava to win ✗39% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.43

Costa Brava vs Villa Mitre: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 11 October the Torneo Federal A brings Costa Brava against Villa Mitre at Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Costa Brava are 27th, lower half, on 18 points after 16 matches; Villa Mitre are 16th (upper half) with 23.

Current form

Costa Brava, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sol de Mayo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Villa Mitre, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Kimberley Mar del Plata, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Costa Brava, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Villa Mitre.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Costa Brava 0.9 xG, Villa Mitre 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Costa Brava 39%, draw 26%, Villa Mitre 35%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Costa Brava 0–0 Villa Mitre. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Costa Brava39%fair 2.58 · @2.55
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @2.62
Villa Mitre35%fair 2.85 · @2.80
1.78Expected goals
0.92Costa Brava xG
0.86Villa Mitre xG
47%Both score
30%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–017%
1–016%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%

From our goals model: Costa Brava 0.9 – 0.9 Villa Mitre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCosta Brava to win ✗39%2.582.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.351.40
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.871.53
Draw no betCosta Brava (draw no bet)52%1.91–
Asian handicapVilla Mitre +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓55%1.811.62
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70%1.431.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.161.12
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.071.03
First team to scoreCosta Brava to score first ✓43%2.32–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗53%1.89–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗25%4.05–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.43–

Recent results

Costa Brava – last 6

WWDLWW
20 Sepvs Sol de Mayo1–0W
13 Sep@ Santamarina3–1W
6 Sep@ Deportivo Rincon1–1D
30 Augvs Juventud Unida Univ.1–2L
23 Aug@ Circulo Deportivo1–0W
16 Augvs Guillermo Brown1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Villa Mitre – last 6

DLWDDL
20 Sepvs Kimberley Mar del Plata0–0D
13 Sep@ Argentino Monte Maíz0–1L
30 Augvs Huracan Las Heras3–0W
22 Aug@ Juventud Antoniana0–0D
16 Augvs Alvarado0–0D
12 Aug@ Olimpo Bahia Blanca0–2L
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Costa Brava and Villa Mitre.

Costa Brava vs Villa Mitre head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Costa Brava vs Villa Mitre?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Costa Brava vs Villa Mitre?

On our numbers Costa Brava have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Villa Mitre 35%.

How many goals will there be in Costa Brava vs Villa Mitre?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Costa Brava vs Villa Mitre?

Our predicted score is Costa Brava 0–0 Villa Mitre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Costa Brava vs Villa Mitre?

Costa Brava vs Villa Mitre (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.