Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.43
Costa Brava vs Villa Mitre: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 11 October the Torneo Federal A brings Costa Brava against Villa Mitre at Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Costa Brava are 27th, lower half, on 18 points after 16 matches; Villa Mitre are 16th (upper half) with 23.
Current form
Costa Brava, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sol de Mayo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Villa Mitre, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Kimberley Mar del Plata, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Costa Brava, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Villa Mitre.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Costa Brava 0.9 xG, Villa Mitre 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Costa Brava 39%, draw 26%, Villa Mitre 35%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Costa Brava 0–0 Villa Mitre. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Costa Brava39%fair 2.58 · @2.55
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @2.62
Villa Mitre35%fair 2.85 · @2.80
1.78Expected goals
0.92Costa Brava xG
0.86Villa Mitre xG
47%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–017%
1–016%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Costa Brava 0.9 – 0.9 Villa Mitre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Costa Brava to win✗
39%
2.58
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.53
Draw no bet
Costa Brava (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Villa Mitre +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.12
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
1.03
First team to score
Costa Brava to score first✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.43
–
Recent results
Costa Brava – last 6
WWDLWW
20 Sep
vs Sol de Mayo
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Santamarina
3–1
W
6 Sep
@ Deportivo Rincon
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Juventud Unida Univ.
1–2
L
23 Aug
@ Circulo Deportivo
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Guillermo Brown
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Villa Mitre – last 6
DLWDDL
20 Sep
vs Kimberley Mar del Plata
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Argentino Monte Maíz
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Huracan Las Heras
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Juventud Antoniana
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Alvarado
0–0
D
12 Aug
@ Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Costa Brava and Villa Mitre.
What is the prediction for Costa Brava vs Villa Mitre?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Costa Brava vs Villa Mitre?
On our numbers Costa Brava have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Villa Mitre 35%.
How many goals will there be in Costa Brava vs Villa Mitre?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Costa Brava vs Villa Mitre?
Our predicted score is Costa Brava 0–0 Villa Mitre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Costa Brava vs Villa Mitre?
Costa Brava vs Villa Mitre (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.