El Linqueño 35%Draw 24%Douglas Haig 40%Expected goals 0.96 – 1.05
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Douglas Haig to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDouglas Haig to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.12
El Linqueño vs Douglas Haig: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
El Linqueño welcome Douglas Haig to Leonardo Costa for a Torneo Federal A fixture on Sunday 11 October (18:00 WAT). In the table, El Linqueño are 26th, lower half, on 19 points after 18 matches; Douglas Haig are 2nd (among the top four) with 31. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
El Linqueño, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Sarmiento Resistencia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Douglas Haig, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gimnasia Chivilcoy, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (14 Jun 2026) it ended El Linqueño 2–0 Douglas Haig.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give El Linqueño 1.0 xG, Douglas Haig 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – El Linqueño 35%, draw 24%, Douglas Haig 40%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Douglas Haig to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Linqueño 0–1 Douglas Haig. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
El Linqueño35%fair 2.83 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.88
Douglas Haig40%fair 2.49 · @2.70
2.02Expected goals
0.96El Linqueño xG
1.05Douglas Haig xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–114%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: El Linqueño 1.0 – 1.1 Douglas Haig expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for El Linqueño vs Douglas Haig?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win El Linqueño vs Douglas Haig?
On our numbers El Linqueño have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Douglas Haig 40%.
How many goals will there be in El Linqueño vs Douglas Haig?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Linqueño vs Douglas Haig?
Our predicted score is El Linqueño 0–1 Douglas Haig, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is El Linqueño vs Douglas Haig?
El Linqueño vs Douglas Haig (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Leonardo Costa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
