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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo Rincon v Kimberley Mar del Plata: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Estadio Gremio de Los Petroleros
Deportivo Rincon 47%Draw 26%Kimberley Mar del Plata 28% Expected goals 1.01 – 0.68
55%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.81 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Rincon to win ✗47% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.34

Deportivo Rincon vs Kimberley Mar del Plata: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Deportivo Rincon v Kimberley Mar del Plata in the Torneo Federal A, played at Estadio Gremio de Los Petroleros. In the table, Deportivo Rincon are 22nd, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Kimberley Mar del Plata are 8th (upper half) with 26.

Current form

Deportivo Rincon, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Santamarina, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Kimberley Mar del Plata, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Villa Mitre, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Rincon 1.0 xG, Kimberley Mar del Plata 0.7 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 76%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Rincon 47%, draw 26%, Kimberley Mar del Plata 28%.
  • GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (55%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Rincon 1–0 Kimberley Mar del Plata. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Rincon47%fair 2.15 · @2.05
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.70
Kimberley Mar del Plata28%fair 3.62 · @3.80
1.69Expected goals
1.01Deportivo Rincon xG
0.68Kimberley Mar del Plata xG
45%Both score
24%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%
0–018%
1–113%
0–112%
2–010%
2–16%

From our goals model: Deportivo Rincon 1.0 – 0.7 Kimberley Mar del Plata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Rincon to win ✗47%2.152.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.40
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.811.57
Draw no betDeportivo Rincon (draw no bet) ✗63%1.59–
Asian handicapKimberley Mar del Plata +1 (Asian handicap) ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗50%1.99–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
First team to scoreDeportivo Rincon to score first ✗49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓54%1.85–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗26%3.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.34–

Recent results

Deportivo Rincon – last 6

WLDDWL
20 Sepvs Santamarina3–0W
13 Sep@ Fundacion Amigos0–1L
6 Sepvs Costa Brava1–1D
30 Aug@ Germinal de Rawson0–0D
23 Augvs Juventud Unida Univ.1–0W
16 Aug@ San Martín Mendoza0–1L
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Kimberley Mar del Plata – last 6

DDWLLW
20 Sep@ Villa Mitre0–0D
13 Sepvs Huracan Las Heras0–0D
5 Sep@ Juventud Antoniana3–0W
30 Augvs Alvarado0–2L
23 Aug@ Olimpo Bahia Blanca0–1L
16 Augvs Cipolletti3–1W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Rincon and Kimberley Mar del Plata.

Deportivo Rincon vs Kimberley Mar del Plata head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Rincon vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Deportivo Rincon vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?

On our numbers Deportivo Rincon have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Kimberley Mar del Plata 28%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Rincon vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Rincon vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Rincon 1–0 Kimberley Mar del Plata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Rincon vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?

Deportivo Rincon vs Kimberley Mar del Plata (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gremio de Los Petroleros.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.