Gimnasia Concepción 55%Draw 22%9 de Julio Rafaela 23%Expected goals 1.40 – 0.76
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultGimnasia Concepción to win ✓55% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.21
Gimnasia Concepción vs 9 de Julio Rafaela: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
9 de Julio Rafaela travel to face Gimnasia Concepción on Sunday 11 October in the Torneo Federal A, with Estadio Manuel y Ramon Nunez the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Gimnasia Concepción are 33rd, lower half, on 17 points after 18 matches; 9 de Julio Rafaela are 14th (upper half) with 25.
Current form
Gimnasia Concepción, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sportivo Las Parejas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
9 de Julio Rafaela, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sol de América, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Jul 2026) it ended Gimnasia Concepción 3–0 9 de Julio Rafaela.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia Concepción 1.4 xG, 9 de Julio Rafaela 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia Concepción 55%, draw 22%, 9 de Julio Rafaela 23%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia Concepción 1–1 9 de Julio Rafaela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gimnasia Concepción55%fair 1.82 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.00
9 de Julio Rafaela23%fair 4.28 · @4.00
2.16Expected goals
1.40Gimnasia Concepción xG
0.769 de Julio Rafaela xG
49%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–112%
0–012%
2–011%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Gimnasia Concepción 1.4 – 0.8 9 de Julio Rafaela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia Concepción vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Gimnasia Concepción vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
On our numbers Gimnasia Concepción have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 22% and 9 de Julio Rafaela 23%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Concepción vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Concepción vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia Concepción 1–1 9 de Julio Rafaela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia Concepción vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
Gimnasia Concepción vs 9 de Julio Rafaela (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel y Ramon Nunez.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
