Fundacion Amigos v Atenas Prediction & Expected Goals (11 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultFundacion Amigos to win ✓57% · @1.80

Double chanceFundacion Amigos or draw ✓81% · @1.12

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.50

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.27

Fundacion Amigos vs Atenas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Fundacion Amigos v Atenas in the Torneo Federal A. In the table, Fundacion Amigos are 21st, lower half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Atenas are 18th (upper half) with 23. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Fundacion Amigos, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Guillermo Brown, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Atenas, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with San Martin Formosa, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Fundacion Amigos, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Atenas.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Jul 2026) it ended Atenas 1–3 Fundacion Amigos.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fundacion Amigos 1.3 xG, Atenas 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Fundacion Amigos 57%, draw 23%, Atenas 19%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fundacion Amigos 1–0 Atenas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fundacion Amigos57%fair 1.75 · @1.80

Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00

Atenas19%fair 5.14 · @4.50

1.96Expected goals

1.35Fundacion Amigos xG

0.61Atenas xG

46%Both score

33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%

0–014%

2–013%

1–112%

0–19%

2–18%

From our goals model: Fundacion Amigos 1.3 – 0.6 Atenas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Fundacion Amigos to win ✓	57%	1.75	1.80
Double chance	Fundacion Amigos or draw ✓	81%	1.24	1.12
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	54%	1.86	1.50
Draw no bet	Fundacion Amigos (draw no bet) ✓	75%	1.34	–
Asian handicap	Atenas +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	63%	1.59	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	60%	1.68	1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	67%	1.50	1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	92%	1.08	1.04
First team to score	Fundacion Amigos to score first ✓	59%	1.69	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	49%	2.03	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Fundacion Amigos / FT Fundacion Amigos ✓	32%	3.10	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	19%	5.27	–

Fundacion Amigos – last 6

DWDWWL

20 Sep	@ Guillermo Brown	0–0	D
13 Sep	vs Deportivo Rincon	1–0	W
6 Sep	vs Germinal de Rawson	1–1	D
30 Aug	@ San Martín Mendoza	2–0	W
23 Aug	vs Sol de Mayo	2–0	W
17 Aug	@ Santamarina	0–2	L

1.0Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

17%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

Atenas – last 6

DLLWLW

4 Oct	@ San Martin Formosa	1–1	D
27 Sep	vs San Martin Formosa	0–1	L
20 Sep	@ Huracan Las Heras	0–1	L
13 Sep	vs Juventud Antoniana	3–1	W
6 Sep	@ Alvarado	2–3	L
30 Aug	vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1–0	W

1.2Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	16	8	7	1	+9	31
2	Douglas Haig	18	9	4	5	+7	31
3	Sportivo Belgrano	18	7	9	2	+12	30
4	San Martin Formosa	16	9	3	4	+6	30
5	Alvarado	16	7	6	3	+12	27
6	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	18	7	6	5	+5	27
7	Defensores de Belgrano VR	18	7	6	5	+4	27
8	Kimberley Mar del Plata	16	6	8	2	+6	26
9	Bartolomé Mitre	16	7	5	4	+6	26
10	Sol de América	16	8	2	6	+5	26
11	Juventud Antoniana	16	7	4	5	+8	25
12	Cipolletti	16	7	4	5	+4	25
13	Sarmiento de La Banda	16	7	4	5	+2	25
14	9 de Julio Rafaela	18	7	4	7	+1	25
15	Sportivo Las Parejas	18	5	9	4	-1	24
16	Villa Mitre	16	5	8	3	+6	23
17	Argentino Monte Maíz	16	5	8	3	+4	23
18	Atenas	16	6	5	5	-1	23
19	Huracan Las Heras	16	6	5	5	-2	23
20	Atletico Escobar	18	6	4	8	-8	22
21	Fundacion Amigos	16	4	9	3	+3	21
22	Deportivo Rincon	16	5	4	7	-3	19
23	San Martín Mendoza	16	4	7	5	-4	19
24	Defensores de Vilelas	16	6	1	9	-5	19
25	Independiente De Chivilcoy	18	4	7	7	-7	19
26	El Linqueño	18	5	4	9	-7	19
27	Costa Brava	16	4	6	6	-1	18
28	Sol de Mayo	16	4	6	6	-3	18
29	Boca Unidos	16	5	3	8	-6	18
30	Germinal de Rawson	16	4	6	6	-7	18
31	Juventud Unida Univ.	16	3	8	5	0	17
32	Tucuman Central	16	5	2	9	-5	17
33	Gimnasia Concepción	18	4	5	9	-6	17
34	Guillermo Brown	16	4	5	7	-7	17
35	Sarmiento Resistencia	16	3	6	7	-11	15
36	Santamarina	16	2	7	7	-8	13
37	Circulo Deportivo	16	2	7	7	-8	13

Team

Pts

+12

+12

Defensores de Belgrano VR

Kimberley Mar del Plata

Sarmiento de La Banda

-1

-1

-2

-8

-3

-4

Defensores de Vilelas

-5

Independiente De Chivilcoy

-7

-7

-1

-3

-6

-7

-5

-6

-7

Sarmiento Resistencia

-11

Santamarina

-8

Circulo Deportivo

-8

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fundacion Amigos vs Atenas?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Fundacion Amigos vs Atenas?

On our numbers Fundacion Amigos have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atenas 19%.

How many goals will there be in Fundacion Amigos vs Atenas?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fundacion Amigos vs Atenas?

Our predicted score is Fundacion Amigos 1–0 Atenas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Fundacion Amigos vs Atenas?

Fundacion Amigos vs Atenas (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Fundacion Amigos v Atenas: numbers & prediction