Double chanceOlimpo Bahia Blanca or draw ✓85% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.88
Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs San Martin Formosa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 11 October the Torneo Federal A brings Olimpo Bahia Blanca against San Martin Formosa at Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Olimpo Bahia Blanca are 1st, leading the league, on 31 points after 16 matches; San Martin Formosa are 4th (among the top four) with 30. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Olimpo Bahia Blanca, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Gimnasia Chivilcoy, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
San Martin Formosa, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atenas, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1.6 xG, San Martin Formosa 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Olimpo Bahia Blanca 61%, draw 24%, San Martin Formosa 15%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1–0 San Martin Formosa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Olimpo Bahia Blanca61%fair 1.63 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.25
San Martin Formosa15%fair 6.60 · @4.75
2.24Expected goals
1.60Olimpo Bahia Blanca xG
0.64San Martin Formosa xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1.6 – 0.6 San Martin Formosa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Olimpo Bahia Blanca to win✗
61%
1.63
1.70
Double chance
Olimpo Bahia Blanca or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.80
Draw no bet
Olimpo Bahia Blanca (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Olimpo Bahia Blanca -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.10
First team to score
Olimpo Bahia Blanca to score first✗
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Olimpo Bahia Blanca / FT Olimpo Bahia Blanca✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.88
–
Recent results
Olimpo Bahia Blanca – last 6
WWDDLW
4 Oct
@ Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2–1
W
27 Sep
vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Alvarado
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Cipolletti
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Atenas
0–1
L
23 Aug
vs Kimberley Mar del Plata
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
San Martin Formosa – last 6
DWDWLW
4 Oct
vs Atenas
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Atenas
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Bartolomé Mitre
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Sarmiento de La Banda
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Defensores de Belgrano VR
0–1
L
23 Aug
vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Olimpo Bahia Blanca and San Martin Formosa.
What is the prediction for Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs San Martin Formosa?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs San Martin Formosa?
On our numbers Olimpo Bahia Blanca have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and San Martin Formosa 15%.
How many goals will there be in Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs San Martin Formosa?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs San Martin Formosa?
Our predicted score is Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1–0 San Martin Formosa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs San Martin Formosa?
Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs San Martin Formosa (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
