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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Recreativa de Lamelas v Vitória SC: numbers & prediction

Taça De Portugal · Portugal

Recreativa de Lamelas

W
0–1
FT

Vitória SC

LDLDL
Recreativa de Lamelas 9%Draw 14%Vitória SC 77% Expected goals 1.21 – 3.37
81%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
O3.5

Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultVitória SC to win ✓77% · @1.03
Double chanceVitória SC or draw ✓91% · fair 1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @5.00
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 12.62

Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Vitória SC travel to face Recreativa de Lamelas on Saturday 17 October in the Taça De Portugal – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.

Current form

Vitória SC, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Benfica, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Recreativa de Lamelas 1.2 xG, Vitória SC 3.4 xG – a total near 4.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 81% and GG at 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Recreativa de Lamelas 9%, draw 14%, Vitória SC 77%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 5.00.
  • Price worth noting: Over 3.5 goals @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Recreativa de Lamelas 1–3 Vitória SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Recreativa de Lamelas9%fair 11.45 · @41.00
Draw14%fair 7.23 · @15.00
Vitória SC77%fair 1.29 · @1.03
4.57Expected goals
1.21Recreativa de Lamelas xG
3.37Vitória SC xG
54%Both score
81%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–38%
1–27%
1–47%
0–37%
0–26%
0–46%

From our goals model: Recreativa de Lamelas 1.2 – 3.4 Vitória SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVitória SC to win ✓77%1.291.03
Double chanceVitória SC or draw ✓91%1.10–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.865.00 ▲
Draw no betVitória SC (draw no bet) ✓90%1.11–
Asian handicapVitória SC -1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗90%1.111.10
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗81%1.241.20
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗59%1.711.83 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓62%1.611.30
First team to scoreVitória SC to score first ✓73%1.37–
Half-time resultVitória SC ahead at half-time ✗61%1.65–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vitória SC / FT Vitória SC ✗56%1.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8%12.62–

Recent results

Recreativa de Lamelas – last 1

W
19 Sepvs Santo Antonio4–1W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Vitória SC – last 6

LDLDLW
11 Oct@ Benfica0–2L
20 Sepvs Moreirense1–1D
12 Sep@ Academico Viseu1–2L
6 Sepvs Casa Pia0–0D
31 Aug@ SC Braga0–1L
23 Augvs Nacional1–0W
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Recreativa de Lamelas and Vitória SC.

Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC head-to-head page →

More Taça De Portugal predictions

League hub
FT Atlético CP1 Vizela0 142%3.25X22%3.20236%2.00 1.7–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.73 ✗
FT Sanjoanense1 Nacional0 113%6.50X18%4.00269%1.36 1.2–2.8xG 2Nacional to win 69%@1.36 ✗
FT Farense3 AD Marco 090 164%1.30X21%4.40215%8.00 0.9–0.1xG 1Farense to win 64%@1.30 ✓
FT Vianense1 Leixoes0 114%5.00X21%3.30265%1.57 1.9–3.5xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.91 ✗
FT Florgrade1 Portimonense2 113%5.50X21%3.50266%1.50 0.0–0.6xG NGNot both teams to score 65%@1.85 ✗
FT Fazendense1 Estrela2 16%29.00X16%6.50278%1.11 0.9–3.1xG NGNot both teams to score 50%@1.30 ✗
FT AVS1 Moreirense0 126%3.20X23%3.00251%2.05 0.8–1.2xG 2Moreirense to win 51%@2.05 ✗
FT União de Leiria2 Bragança1 168%1.20X22%5.00210%13.00 3.0–1.3xG 1União de Leiria to win 68%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC?

On our numbers Recreativa de Lamelas have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Vitória SC 77%.

How many goals will there be in Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC?

We expect about 4.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC?

Our predicted score is Recreativa de Lamelas 1–3 Vitória SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.6 goals in total.

When is Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC?

Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.