Sanjoanense vs Nacional: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the Taça De Portugal brings Sanjoanense against Nacional. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.
Current form
Sanjoanense, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Guarda, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Nacional, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Rio Ave, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Sanjoanense, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.0 for Nacional.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sanjoanense 1.2 xG, Nacional 2.8 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sanjoanense 13%, draw 18%, Nacional 69%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Nacional to win (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sanjoanense 1–2 Nacional. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sanjoanense13%fair 7.89 · @6.50
Draw18%fair 5.52 · @4.00
Nacional69%fair 1.45 · @1.36
4.00Expected goals
1.21Sanjoanense xG
2.79Nacional xG
62%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
0–37%
1–16%
1–46%
From our goals model: Sanjoanense 1.2 – 2.8 Nacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nacional to win✗
69%
1.45
1.36
Double chance
Nacional or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.62
Draw no bet
Nacional (draw no bet)✗
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Nacional -1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
Nacional to score first✗
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Nacional ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nacional / FT Nacional✗
48%
2.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.60
–
Recent results
Sanjoanense – last 6
WWLWWD
10 Oct
vs Guarda
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Ançã
4–1
W
13 Sep
@ Florgrade
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Alpendorada
3–1
W
30 Aug
vs Pacos de Brandao
3–0
W
23 Aug
@ Salgueiros
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nacional – last 6
LLLLLL
11 Oct
@ Rio Ave
2–3
L
19 Sep
vs Famalicao
0–4
L
12 Sep
vs Alverca
1–3
L
5 Sep
@ Sporting CP
0–2
L
30 Aug
vs Estrela
2–3
L
23 Aug
@ Vitória SC
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sanjoanense and Nacional.
What is the prediction for Sanjoanense vs Nacional?
Our pick is Nacional to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Sanjoanense vs Nacional?
On our numbers Sanjoanense have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Nacional 69%.
How many goals will there be in Sanjoanense vs Nacional?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sanjoanense vs Nacional?
Our predicted score is Sanjoanense 1–2 Nacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Sanjoanense vs Nacional?
Sanjoanense vs Nacional (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Recreativa de Lamelas0
Vitória SC1
Atlético CP1
Vizela0
Farense3
AD Marco 090
Vianense1
Leixoes0
Florgrade1
Portimonense2
Fazendense1
Estrela2
AVS1
Moreirense0
União de Leiria2
Bragança1