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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Farense v AD Marco 09: numbers & prediction

Taça De Portugal · Portugal

Farense

WWWDL
3–0
FT

AD Marco 09

LWWDW
Farense 64%Draw 21%AD Marco 09 15% Expected goals 0.88 – 0.12
64%
Betarazi pick

Farense to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultFarense to win ✓64% · @1.30
Double chanceFarense or draw ✓85% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗32% · fair 3.08

Farense vs AD Marco 09: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

AD Marco 09 travel to face Farense on Saturday 17 October in the Taça De Portugal – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Farense, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Feirense, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

AD Marco 09, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Leça, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Farense 0.9 xG, AD Marco 09 0.1 xG – a total near 1.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 92% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Farense 64%, draw 21%, AD Marco 09 15%.
  • GG/NG: NG (58%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Farense to win (64%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Farense 1–0 AD Marco 09. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Farense64%fair 1.55 · @1.30
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @4.40
AD Marco 0915%fair 6.70 · @8.00
1.00Expected goals
0.88Farense xG
0.12AD Marco 09 xG
42%Both score
8%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–037%
1–032%
2–014%
0–14%
3–04%
1–14%

From our goals model: Farense 0.9 – 0.1 AD Marco 09 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFarense to win ✓64%1.551.30
Double chanceFarense or draw ✓85%1.181.06
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓58%1.731.75
Draw no betFarense (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapAD Marco 09 +1 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗92%1.09–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓100%1.00–
First team to scoreFarense to score first ✓56%1.80–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗66%1.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗39%2.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗32%3.08–

Recent results

Farense – last 6

WWWDLD
11 Octvs Feirense2–1W
4 Octvs Chaves4–0W
20 Sep@ Sacavenense1–0W
13 Sep@ AVS0–0D
30 Aug@ Sporting CP B1–2L
24 Augvs Felgueiras 19321–1D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

AD Marco 09 – last 6

LWWDWW
10 Oct@ Leça0–2L
20 Sepvs Maia Lidador1–0W
12 Sepvs Guimaraes B1–0W
6 Sep@ São João Ver0–0D
30 Aug@ Régua1–0W
23 Augvs Vianense2–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Farense and AD Marco 09.

Farense vs AD Marco 09 head-to-head page →

More Taça De Portugal predictions

League hub
FT Recreativa de Lamelas0 Vitória SC1 19%41.00X14%15.00277%1.03 1.2–3.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 81%@1.20 ✗
FT Atlético CP1 Vizela0 142%3.25X22%3.20236%2.00 1.7–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.73 ✗
FT Sanjoanense1 Nacional0 113%6.50X18%4.00269%1.36 1.2–2.8xG 2Nacional to win 69%@1.36 ✗
FT Vianense1 Leixoes0 114%5.00X21%3.30265%1.57 1.9–3.5xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.91 ✗
FT Florgrade1 Portimonense2 113%5.50X21%3.50266%1.50 0.0–0.6xG NGNot both teams to score 65%@1.85 ✗
FT Fazendense1 Estrela2 16%29.00X16%6.50278%1.11 0.9–3.1xG NGNot both teams to score 50%@1.30 ✗
FT AVS1 Moreirense0 126%3.20X23%3.00251%2.05 0.8–1.2xG 2Moreirense to win 51%@2.05 ✗
FT União de Leiria2 Bragança1 168%1.20X22%5.00210%13.00 3.0–1.3xG 1União de Leiria to win 68%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Farense vs AD Marco 09?

Our pick is Farense to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Farense vs AD Marco 09?

On our numbers Farense have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and AD Marco 09 15%.

How many goals will there be in Farense vs AD Marco 09?

We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Farense vs AD Marco 09?

Our predicted score is Farense 1–0 AD Marco 09, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.

When is Farense vs AD Marco 09?

Farense vs AD Marco 09 (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.