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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

AVS v Moreirense: numbers & prediction

Taça De Portugal · Portugal

AVS

WWDLW
1–0
FT

Moreirense

LDWLL
AVS 26%Draw 23%Moreirense 51% Expected goals 0.76 – 1.24
51%
Betarazi pick

Moreirense to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.97 · bookmaker 2.05 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
2.05Odds

Picks by market

ResultMoreirense to win ✗51% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.66

AVS vs Moreirense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

AVS welcome Moreirense for a Taça De Portugal fixture on Saturday 17 October (16:00 WAT).

Current form

AVS, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Penafiel, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Moreirense, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to GIL Vicente, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours AVS, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Moreirense.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Jul 2026) it ended Moreirense 2–2 AVS.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give AVS 0.8 xG, Moreirense 1.2 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – AVS 26%, draw 23%, Moreirense 51%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Moreirense to win (51%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.97, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: AVS 0–1 Moreirense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

AVS26%fair 3.82 · @3.20
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.00
Moreirense51%fair 1.97 · @2.05
2.00Expected goals
0.76AVS xG
1.24Moreirense xG
52%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–117%
0–014%
1–113%
0–210%
1–010%
1–28%

From our goals model: AVS 0.8 – 1.2 Moreirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMoreirense to win ✗51%1.972.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.931.85
Draw no betMoreirense (draw no bet) ✗66%1.52–
Asian handicapAVS +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗59%1.68–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreMoreirense to score first ✗53%1.87–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT Moreirense / FT Moreirense ✗27%3.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.66–

Recent results

AVS – last 6

WWDLWD
9 Oct@ Penafiel2–1W
20 Sep@ Sintrense2–0W
13 Sepvs Farense0–0D
7 Sep@ Lusitânia Lourosa1–2L
30 Augvs Feirense2–0W
23 Aug@ Chaves2–2D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Moreirense – last 6

LDWLLW
9 Octvs GIL Vicente0–1L
20 Sep@ Vitória SC1–1D
14 Sepvs Maritimo3–1W
9 Sepvs Benfica0–4L
4 Sep@ FC Porto1–2L
30 Aug@ Casa Pia1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Jul 2026Moreirense v AVS2–2
AVS vs Moreirense head-to-head page →

More Taça De Portugal predictions

League hub
FT Recreativa de Lamelas0 Vitória SC1 19%41.00X14%15.00277%1.03 1.2–3.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 81%@1.20 ✗
FT Atlético CP1 Vizela0 142%3.25X22%3.20236%2.00 1.7–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.73 ✗
FT Sanjoanense1 Nacional0 113%6.50X18%4.00269%1.36 1.2–2.8xG 2Nacional to win 69%@1.36 ✗
FT Farense3 AD Marco 090 164%1.30X21%4.40215%8.00 0.9–0.1xG 1Farense to win 64%@1.30 ✓
FT Vianense1 Leixoes0 114%5.00X21%3.30265%1.57 1.9–3.5xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.91 ✗
FT Florgrade1 Portimonense2 113%5.50X21%3.50266%1.50 0.0–0.6xG NGNot both teams to score 65%@1.85 ✗
FT Fazendense1 Estrela2 16%29.00X16%6.50278%1.11 0.9–3.1xG NGNot both teams to score 50%@1.30 ✗
FT União de Leiria2 Bragança1 168%1.20X22%5.00210%13.00 3.0–1.3xG 1União de Leiria to win 68%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AVS vs Moreirense?

Our pick is Moreirense to win with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.

Who will win AVS vs Moreirense?

On our numbers AVS have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Moreirense 51%.

How many goals will there be in AVS vs Moreirense?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for AVS vs Moreirense?

Our predicted score is AVS 0–1 Moreirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is AVS vs Moreirense?

AVS vs Moreirense (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.