Wednesday 11 November 2026 15 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Florgrade v Portimonense: numbers & prediction

Taça De Portugal · Portugal

Florgrade

LWWLD
1–2
FT

Portimonense

WWLLL
Florgrade 13%Draw 21%Portimonense 66% Expected goals 0.03 – 0.64
65%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultPortimonense to win ✓66% · @1.50
Double chancePortimonense or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗65% · @1.85
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗33% · fair 3.04

Florgrade vs Portimonense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Florgrade welcome Portimonense for a Taça De Portugal fixture on Saturday 17 October (15:00 WAT).

Current form

Florgrade, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Machico, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Portimonense, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Amarante, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Florgrade, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Portimonense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Florgrade 0.0 xG, Portimonense 0.6 xG – a total near 0.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 97% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Florgrade 13%, draw 21%, Portimonense 66%.
  • GG/NG: NG (65%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (65%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Florgrade 0–0 Portimonense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Florgrade13%fair 7.54 · @5.50
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.50
Portimonense66%fair 1.51 · @1.50
0.67Expected goals
0.03Florgrade xG
0.64Portimonense xG
35%Both score
3%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–051%
0–133%
0–211%
0–32%
1–01%
1–11%

From our goals model: Florgrade 0.0 – 0.6 Portimonense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPortimonense to win ✓66%1.511.50
Double chancePortimonense or draw ✓87%1.151.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗65%1.551.85 ▲
Draw no betPortimonense (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapFlorgrade +1 (Asian handicap)80%1.25–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗85%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗97%1.03–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓100%1.00–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓100%1.00–
First team to scoreNo goal ✗51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓75%1.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗52%1.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗33%3.04–

Recent results

Florgrade – last 6

LWWLDW
10 Oct@ Machico0–4L
27 Sep@ Camacha1–0W
13 Sepvs Sanjoanense2–0W
6 Sep@ Camacha0–1L
30 Augvs São João Ver0–0D
23 Augvs Guarda1–0W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Portimonense – last 6

WWLLLD
10 Oct@ Amarante2–1W
19 Sep@ Castro Daire1–0W
12 Sepvs Tondela0–2L
6 Sep@ União de Leiria0–1L
29 Augvs Leixoes0–2L
21 Aug@ Benfica B1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Florgrade and Portimonense.

Florgrade vs Portimonense head-to-head page →

More Taça De Portugal predictions

League hub
FT Recreativa de Lamelas0 Vitória SC1 19%41.00X14%15.00277%1.03 1.2–3.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 81%@1.20 ✗
FT Atlético CP1 Vizela0 142%3.25X22%3.20236%2.00 1.7–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.73 ✗
FT Sanjoanense1 Nacional0 113%6.50X18%4.00269%1.36 1.2–2.8xG 2Nacional to win 69%@1.36 ✗
FT Farense3 AD Marco 090 164%1.30X21%4.40215%8.00 0.9–0.1xG 1Farense to win 64%@1.30 ✓
FT Vianense1 Leixoes0 114%5.00X21%3.30265%1.57 1.9–3.5xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.91 ✗
FT Fazendense1 Estrela2 16%29.00X16%6.50278%1.11 0.9–3.1xG NGNot both teams to score 50%@1.30 ✗
FT AVS1 Moreirense0 126%3.20X23%3.00251%2.05 0.8–1.2xG 2Moreirense to win 51%@2.05 ✗
FT União de Leiria2 Bragança1 168%1.20X22%5.00210%13.00 3.0–1.3xG 1União de Leiria to win 68%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Florgrade vs Portimonense?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Florgrade vs Portimonense?

On our numbers Florgrade have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Portimonense 66%.

How many goals will there be in Florgrade vs Portimonense?

We expect about 0.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 3% likely and both teams score 35% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Florgrade vs Portimonense?

Our predicted score is Florgrade 0–0 Portimonense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 0.7 goals in total.

When is Florgrade vs Portimonense?

Florgrade vs Portimonense (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.