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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

União de Leiria v Bragança: numbers & prediction

Taça De Portugal · Portugal

União de Leiria

LWDWW
2–1
FT

Bragança

LWWWW
União de Leiria 68%Draw 22%Bragança 10% Expected goals 3.01 – 1.32
68%
Betarazi pick

União de Leiria to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.45 – our chance 57% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +40%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultUnião de Leiria to win ✓68% · @1.20
Double chanceUnião de Leiria or draw ✓90% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @2.45
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.67

União de Leiria vs Bragança: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 17 October the Taça De Portugal brings União de Leiria against Bragança. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.

Current form

União de Leiria, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Academica, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Bragança, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Montalegre, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give União de Leiria 3.0 xG, Bragança 1.3 xG – a total near 4.3. That is an open game on paper: 81% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – União de Leiria 68%, draw 22%, Bragança 10%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.45.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was União de Leiria to win (68%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: União de Leiria 3–1 Bragança. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

União de Leiria68%fair 1.47 · @1.20
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @5.00
Bragança10%fair 9.74 · @13.00
4.33Expected goals
3.01União de Leiria xG
1.32Bragança xG
57%Both score
81%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–18%
2–18%
3–06%
2–06%
4–16%
1–15%

From our goals model: União de Leiria 3.0 – 1.3 Bragança expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUnião de Leiria to win ✓68%1.471.20
Double chanceUnião de Leiria or draw ✓90%1.111.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.752.45 ▲
Draw no betUnião de Leiria (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapUnião de Leiria -1 (Asian handicap)65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓56%1.77–
First team to scoreUnião de Leiria to score first ✗69%1.46–
Half-time resultUnião de Leiria ahead at half-time ✗55%1.82–
Half-time / full-timeHT União de Leiria / FT União de Leiria ✗49%2.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8%12.67–

Recent results

União de Leiria – last 6

LWDWWW
11 Octvs Academica0–2L
19 Sep@ O Elvas2–0W
13 Sep@ Amarante2–2D
6 Sepvs Portimonense1–0W
28 Augvs Tondela2–0W
22 Aug@ Leixoes4–2W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Bragança – last 6

LWWWWD
11 Octvs Montalegre0–2L
20 Sepvs Celoricense6–1W
13 Sepvs Ponte da Barca3–0W
6 Sep@ Maia Lidador1–0W
30 Aug@ Rebordelo4–0W
23 Augvs SC Braga B0–0D
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between União de Leiria and Bragança.

União de Leiria vs Bragança head-to-head page →

More Taça De Portugal predictions

League hub
FT Recreativa de Lamelas0 Vitória SC1 19%41.00X14%15.00277%1.03 1.2–3.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 81%@1.20 ✗
FT Atlético CP1 Vizela0 142%3.25X22%3.20236%2.00 1.7–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.73 ✗
FT Sanjoanense1 Nacional0 113%6.50X18%4.00269%1.36 1.2–2.8xG 2Nacional to win 69%@1.36 ✗
FT Farense3 AD Marco 090 164%1.30X21%4.40215%8.00 0.9–0.1xG 1Farense to win 64%@1.30 ✓
FT Vianense1 Leixoes0 114%5.00X21%3.30265%1.57 1.9–3.5xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.91 ✗
FT Florgrade1 Portimonense2 113%5.50X21%3.50266%1.50 0.0–0.6xG NGNot both teams to score 65%@1.85 ✗
FT Fazendense1 Estrela2 16%29.00X16%6.50278%1.11 0.9–3.1xG NGNot both teams to score 50%@1.30 ✗
FT AVS1 Moreirense0 126%3.20X23%3.00251%2.05 0.8–1.2xG 2Moreirense to win 51%@2.05 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for União de Leiria vs Bragança?

Our pick is União de Leiria to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win União de Leiria vs Bragança?

On our numbers União de Leiria have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bragança 10%.

How many goals will there be in União de Leiria vs Bragança?

We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for União de Leiria vs Bragança?

Our predicted score is União de Leiria 3–1 Bragança, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.

When is União de Leiria vs Bragança?

União de Leiria vs Bragança (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.