Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗9% · fair 11.21
Fazendense vs Estrela: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Estrela travel to face Fazendense on Saturday 17 October in the Taça De Portugal – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT.
Current form
Fazendense, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Atlético Malveira, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Estrela, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Arouca, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fazendense 0.9 xG, Estrela 3.1 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 50% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fazendense 6%, draw 16%, Estrela 78%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.30.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (50%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fazendense 0–3 Estrela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fazendense6%fair 17.17 · @29.00
Draw16%fair 6.15 · @6.50
Estrela78%fair 1.28 · @1.11
4.00Expected goals
0.92Fazendense xG
3.08Estrela xG
50%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–39%
0–29%
1–38%
1–28%
0–47%
1–46%
From our goals model: Fazendense 0.9 – 3.1 Estrela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estrela to win✓
78%
1.28
1.11
Double chance
Estrela or draw✓
94%
1.06
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
1.30
Draw no bet
Estrela (draw no bet)✓
93%
1.07
–
Asian handicap
Estrela -1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
Estrela to score first
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Estrela ahead at half-time✗
61%
1.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estrela / FT Estrela✗
57%
1.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
9%
11.21
–
Recent results
Fazendense – last 6
LLWLLW
11 Oct
@ Atlético Malveira
1–3
L
27 Sep
@ FC Alverca II
0–5
L
20 Sep
vs Ginásio Figueirense
6–1
W
13 Sep
vs O Elvas
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Mortágua
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Mocarriense
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Estrela – last 6
LLDWDW
11 Oct
@ Arouca
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Academico Viseu
0–2
L
14 Sep
@ Rio Ave
3–3
D
10 Sep
vs SC Braga
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Famalicao
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Nacional
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fazendense and Estrela.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Fazendense vs Estrela?
On our numbers Fazendense have a 6% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Estrela 78%.
How many goals will there be in Fazendense vs Estrela?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fazendense vs Estrela?
Our predicted score is Fazendense 0–3 Estrela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Fazendense vs Estrela?
Fazendense vs Estrela (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Recreativa de Lamelas0
Vitória SC1
Atlético CP1
Vizela0
Sanjoanense1
Nacional0
Farense3
AD Marco 090
Vianense1
Leixoes0
Florgrade1
Portimonense2
AVS1
Moreirense0
União de Leiria2
Bragança1