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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Louletano v Rio Ave: numbers & prediction

Taça De Portugal · Portugal

Louletano

LDLWW
0–1
FT

Rio Ave

WLDLL
Louletano 11%Draw 25%Rio Ave 64% Expected goals 0.47 – 1.53
64%
Betarazi pick

Rio Ave to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultRio Ave to win ✓64% · @1.55
Double chanceRio Ave or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓21% · fair 4.84

Louletano vs Rio Ave: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Louletano v Rio Ave in the Taça De Portugal.

Current form

Louletano, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Vitória de Sernache, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Rio Ave, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Nacional, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Louletano, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Rio Ave.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Louletano 0.5 xG, Rio Ave 1.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Louletano 11%, draw 25%, Rio Ave 64%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Rio Ave to win (64%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Louletano 0–1 Rio Ave. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Louletano11%fair 8.88 · @5.00
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.50
Rio Ave64%fair 1.57 · @1.55
2.00Expected goals
0.47Louletano xG
1.53Rio Ave xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–121%
0–216%
0–014%
1–110%
0–38%
1–27%

From our goals model: Louletano 0.5 – 1.5 Rio Ave expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRio Ave to win ✓64%1.571.55
Double chanceRio Ave or draw ✓89%1.131.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.941.91
Draw no betRio Ave (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapRio Ave -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗59%1.68–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreRio Ave to score first ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rio Ave / FT Rio Ave ✗39%2.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓21%4.84–

Recent results

Louletano – last 6

LDLWWW
10 Oct@ Vitória de Sernache0–1L
20 Sep@ FC Serpa1–1D
12 Sepvs União Santarém1–2L
6 Sepvs Lusitano Évora 19111–0W
30 Aug@ Castrense1–0W
23 Aug@ Caldas4–2W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Rio Ave – last 6

WLDLLW
11 Octvs Nacional3–2W
19 Sep@ Alverca0–1L
14 Sepvs Estrela3–3D
6 Sep@ Santa Clara0–4L
28 Augvs Sporting CP0–4L
22 Aug@ Estoril2–0W
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Louletano and Rio Ave.

Louletano vs Rio Ave head-to-head page →

More Taça De Portugal predictions

League hub
FT Recreativa de Lamelas0 Vitória SC1 19%41.00X14%15.00277%1.03 1.2–3.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 81%@1.20 ✗
FT Atlético CP1 Vizela0 142%3.25X22%3.20236%2.00 1.7–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.73 ✗
FT Sanjoanense1 Nacional0 113%6.50X18%4.00269%1.36 1.2–2.8xG 2Nacional to win 69%@1.36 ✗
FT Farense3 AD Marco 090 164%1.30X21%4.40215%8.00 0.9–0.1xG 1Farense to win 64%@1.30 ✓
FT Vianense1 Leixoes0 114%5.00X21%3.30265%1.57 1.9–3.5xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.91 ✗
FT Florgrade1 Portimonense2 113%5.50X21%3.50266%1.50 0.0–0.6xG NGNot both teams to score 65%@1.85 ✗
FT Fazendense1 Estrela2 16%29.00X16%6.50278%1.11 0.9–3.1xG NGNot both teams to score 50%@1.30 ✗
FT AVS1 Moreirense0 126%3.20X23%3.00251%2.05 0.8–1.2xG 2Moreirense to win 51%@2.05 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Louletano vs Rio Ave?

Our pick is Rio Ave to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Louletano vs Rio Ave?

On our numbers Louletano have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rio Ave 64%.

How many goals will there be in Louletano vs Rio Ave?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Louletano vs Rio Ave?

Our predicted score is Louletano 0–1 Rio Ave, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Louletano vs Rio Ave?

Louletano vs Rio Ave (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.