Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Torino to win @ 3.55 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCagliari to win ✓39% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓70% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.17
Cagliari vs Torino: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Cagliari v Torino in the Serie A, played at Unipol Domus. In the table, Cagliari are 9th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; Torino are 11th (lower half) with 14. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cagliari, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Bologna, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Torino, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sassuolo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Torino, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Cagliari.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cagliari 1.2 xG, Torino 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cagliari 39%, draw 30%, Torino 31%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Torino to win @3.55 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cagliari 1–1 Torino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cagliari39%fair 2.55 · @2.28
Draw30%fair 3.31 · @2.86
Torino31%fair 3.27 · @3.55
2.30Expected goals
1.22Cagliari xG
1.08Torino xG
49%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Cagliari 1.2 – 1.1 Torino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cagliari to win✓
39%
2.55
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.90
Draw no bet
Cagliari (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Torino +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.07
First team to score
Cagliari to score first
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cagliari / FT Cagliari✓
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.17
–
Recent results
Cagliari – last 6
DWLLLD
3 May
@ Bologna
0–0
D
27 Apr
vs Atalanta
3–2
W
17 Apr
@ Inter
0–3
L
20 Mar
vs Napoli
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Pisa
1–3
L
27 Feb
@ Parma
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Torino – last 6
WDWWLW
8 May
vs Sassuolo
2–1
W
19 Apr
@ Cremonese
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Pisa
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Parma
4–1
W
6 Mar
@ Napoli
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Lazio
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cagliari and Torino.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cagliari vs Torino?
On our numbers Cagliari have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Torino 31%.
How many goals will there be in Cagliari vs Torino?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cagliari vs Torino?
Our predicted score is Cagliari 1–1 Torino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Cagliari vs Torino?
Cagliari vs Torino (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Unipol Domus.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pisa0
Hellas Verona1