Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗11% · fair 9.10
Como vs Parma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 17 May the Serie A brings Como against Parma at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Como are 5th, upper half, on 23 points after 11 matches; Parma are 16th (lower half) with 8. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Como, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hellas Verona, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Parma, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Torino, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Como 2.2 xG, Parma 0.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Como 73%, draw 18%, Parma 9%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Como 2–0 Parma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Como73%fair 1.37 · @1.28
Draw18%fair 5.50 · @5.20
Parma9%fair 11.23 · @10.25
2.74Expected goals
2.17Como xG
0.57Parma xG
50%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–015%
1–014%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Como 2.2 – 0.6 Parma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Como to win✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Double chance
Como or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.65
Draw no bet
Como (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
Como -1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.20
First team to score
Como to score first✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Como ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Como / FT Como✗
49%
2.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
11%
9.10
–
Recent results
Como – last 6
WWLLDW
10 May
@ Hellas Verona
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Genoa
2–0
W
21 Apr
@ Inter
2–3
L
17 Apr
@ Sassuolo
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Udinese
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs Pisa
5–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Parma – last 5
LDDWW
13 Mar
@ Torino
1–4
L
8 Mar
@ Fiorentina
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs Cagliari
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ AC Milan
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Verona
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Como and Parma.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Como vs Parma?
On our numbers Como have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Parma 9%.
How many goals will there be in Como vs Parma?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Como vs Parma?
Our predicted score is Como 2–0 Parma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Como vs Parma?
Como vs Parma (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pisa0
Hellas Verona1