Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 57% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultJuventus to win ✗63% · @1.31
Double chanceJuventus or draw ✗83% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Juventus vs Fiorentina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fiorentina travel to face Juventus on Sunday 17 May in the Serie A, with Allianz Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Juventus are 7th, upper half, on 18 points after 11 matches; Fiorentina are 15th (lower half) with 9.
Current form
Juventus, last 4: WWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Genoa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Fiorentina, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Genoa, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Juventus 1.8 xG, Fiorentina 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Juventus 63%, draw 20%, Fiorentina 17%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juventus 1–1 Fiorentina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Juventus63%fair 1.60 · @1.31
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @5.20
Fiorentina17%fair 5.84 · @8.90
2.76Expected goals
1.81Juventus xG
0.95Fiorentina xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Juventus 1.8 – 1.0 Fiorentina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventus to win✗
63%
1.60
1.31
Double chance
Juventus or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Juventus (draw no bet)✗
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Fiorentina +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.18
First team to score
Juventus to score first✗
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Juventus ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventus / FT Juventus✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.16
–
Recent results
Juventus – last 4
WWLL
6 Apr
vs Genoa
2–0
W
25 Feb
vs Galatasaray
3–0
W
21 Feb
vs Como
0–2
L
17 Feb
@ Galatasaray
2–5
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Fiorentina – last 6
DLDDWW
10 May
vs Genoa
0–0
D
4 May
@ AS Roma
0–4
L
26 Apr
vs Sassuolo
0–0
D
20 Apr
@ Lecce
1–1
D
16 Apr
vs Crystal Palace
2–1
W
13 Apr
vs Lazio
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juventus and Fiorentina.
What is the prediction for Juventus vs Fiorentina?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Juventus vs Fiorentina?
On our numbers Juventus have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Fiorentina 17%.
How many goals will there be in Juventus vs Fiorentina?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventus vs Fiorentina?
Our predicted score is Juventus 1–1 Fiorentina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Juventus vs Fiorentina?
Juventus vs Fiorentina (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pisa0
Hellas Verona1