Den Bosch 38%Draw 25%Roda 37%Expected goals 1.57 – 1.45
61%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultDen Bosch to win ✗38% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.49
Den Bosch vs Roda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Den Bosch welcome Roda to Stadion De Vliert for a Eerste Divisie fixture on Friday 27 February (20:00 WAT). In the table, Den Bosch are 3rd, among the top four, on 0 points after 0 matches; Roda are 14th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Den Bosch 1.6 xG, Roda 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Den Bosch 38%, draw 25%, Roda 37%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.42.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Den Bosch 1–1 Roda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Den Bosch38%fair 2.60 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.60
Roda37%fair 2.72 · @2.60
3.02Expected goals
1.57Den Bosch xG
1.45Roda xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Den Bosch 1.6 – 1.5 Roda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Den Bosch
Roda
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-5%
-17%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
-19%
Our expected goals here
1.41
1.21
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Den Bosch to win✗
38%
2.60
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.42
Draw no bet
Den Bosch (draw no bet)
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Roda +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
First team to score
Den Bosch to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Den Bosch / FT Den Bosch✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.49
–
Recent results
Den Bosch – last 1
D
23 Feb
@ Jong AZ
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Roda – last 1
W
13 Feb
@ Waalwijk
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Den Bosch and Roda.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Den Bosch vs Roda?
On our numbers Den Bosch have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Roda 37%.
How many goals will there be in Den Bosch vs Roda?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Den Bosch vs Roda?
Our predicted score is Den Bosch 1–1 Roda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Den Bosch vs Roda?
Den Bosch vs Roda (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion De Vliert.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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