Value bet: Jong PSV U21 to win @ 3.25 – our chance 38% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDordrecht to win ✗39% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.33
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.06
Jong PSV U21 vs Dordrecht: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 27 February the Eerste Divisie brings Jong PSV U21 against Dordrecht at De Herdgang. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Jong PSV U21 are 17th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Dordrecht are 4th (among the top four) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jong PSV U21 1.7 xG, Dordrecht 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 69% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jong PSV U21 38%, draw 23%, Dordrecht 39%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.33.
Price worth noting: Jong PSV U21 to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jong PSV U21 1–1 Dordrecht. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jong PSV U2138%fair 2.64 · @3.25
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.85
Dordrecht39%fair 2.56 · @2.00
3.19Expected goals
1.72Jong PSV U21 xG
1.47Dordrecht xG
69%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Jong PSV U21 1.7 – 1.5 Dordrecht expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Jong PSV U21
Dordrecht
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-26%
-23%
Goals conceded vs average
-7%
+28%
Our expected goals here
1.72
1.13
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dordrecht to win✗
39%
2.56
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.45
1.33
Draw no bet
Dordrecht (draw no bet)
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Dordrecht +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.85
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.38
First team to score
Jong PSV U21 to score first
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jong PSV U21 / FT Jong PSV U21✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.06
–
Recent results
Jong PSV U21 – last 2
WL
20 Feb
@ Emmen
3–2
W
13 Feb
vs De Graafschap
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Dordrecht – last 2
LW
20 Feb
vs Jong Ajax
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Emmen
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jong PSV U21 and Dordrecht.
What is the prediction for Jong PSV U21 vs Dordrecht?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Jong PSV U21 vs Dordrecht?
On our numbers Jong PSV U21 have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dordrecht 39%.
How many goals will there be in Jong PSV U21 vs Dordrecht?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong PSV U21 vs Dordrecht?
Our predicted score is Jong PSV U21 1–1 Dordrecht, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Jong PSV U21 vs Dordrecht?
Jong PSV U21 vs Dordrecht (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at De Herdgang.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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