Jong Ajax 40%Draw 23%Helmond Sport 36%Expected goals 1.74 – 1.63
81%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultJong Ajax to win ✓40% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.77
Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Helmond Sport travel to face Jong Ajax on Friday 27 February in the Eerste Divisie, with Sportpark De Toekomst the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Jong Ajax are 18th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 0 matches; Helmond Sport are 7th (upper half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Jong Ajax, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Emmen, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jong Ajax 1.7 xG, Helmond Sport 1.6 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jong Ajax 40%, draw 23%, Helmond Sport 36%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jong Ajax 1–1 Helmond Sport. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jong Ajax40%fair 2.49 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.40
Helmond Sport36%fair 2.75 · @2.65
3.36Expected goals
1.74Jong Ajax xG
1.63Helmond Sport xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Jong Ajax 1.7 – 1.6 Helmond Sport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Jong Ajax
Helmond Sport
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-8%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
+21%
+22%
Our expected goals here
2.03
1.87
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jong Ajax to win✓
40%
2.49
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Draw no bet
Jong Ajax (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Helmond Sport +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.20
First team to score
Jong Ajax to score first✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jong Ajax / FT Jong Ajax✓
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.77
–
Recent results
Jong Ajax – last 3
DWL
23 Feb
@ Emmen
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Dordrecht
1–0
W
16 Feb
vs Cambuur
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Helmond Sport – last 2
LW
20 Feb
vs ADO Den Haag
1–3
L
13 Feb
@ Almere City FC
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jong Ajax and Helmond Sport.
What is the prediction for Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport?
On our numbers Jong Ajax have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Helmond Sport 36%.
How many goals will there be in Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport?
Our predicted score is Jong Ajax 1–1 Helmond Sport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport?
Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark De Toekomst.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
ADO Den Haag1
Willem II3
Cambuur2