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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vitesse v Jong AZ: numbers & prediction

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · GelreDome
2–0
FT
Vitesse 45%Draw 22%Jong AZ 33% Expected goals 1.88 – 1.55
67%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultVitesse to win ✓45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.27

Vitesse vs Jong AZ: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Friday 27 February: Vitesse v Jong AZ in the Eerste Divisie, played at GelreDome. In the table, Vitesse are 15th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Jong AZ are 19th (in the drop zone) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vitesse 1.9 xG, Jong AZ 1.5 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vitesse 45%, draw 22%, Jong AZ 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vitesse 1–1 Jong AZ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vitesse45%fair 2.24 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.75
Jong AZ33%fair 3.03 · @3.10
3.43Expected goals
1.88Vitesse xG
1.55Jong AZ xG
67%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%

From our goals model: Vitesse 1.9 – 1.5 Jong AZ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

VitesseJong AZ
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average-12%+20%
Goals conceded vs average-16%+26%
Our expected goals here2.011.59

Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVitesse to win ✓45%2.242.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗67%1.491.40
Draw no betVitesse (draw no bet) ✓58%1.74–
Asian handicapJong AZ +1 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.201.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗65%1.541.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓56%1.781.65
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓74%1.351.25
First team to scoreVitesse to score first ✓53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗36%2.74–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vitesse / FT Vitesse ✓28%3.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.27–

Recent results

Vitesse – last 1

L
20 Feb@ Willem II0–3L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Jong AZ – last 2

DW
23 Febvs Den Bosch2–2D
13 Feb@ FC OSS3–0W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Vitesse and Jong AZ.

Vitesse vs Jong AZ head-to-head page →

Eerste Divisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Heracles141121+2935
2VVV Venlo14923+1529
3Almere City FC14914+1628
4NAC Breda14743+525
5Roda14743+125
6Emmen14815025
7FC Volendam14716+922
8MVV14626-1020
9Den Bosch14545+219
10Vitesse13535-118
11Waalwijk14383+317
12Jong AZ14527+217
13Jong PSV U2114455-417
14Jong Ajax14446-816
15De Graafschap13436-1015
16FC OSS14428-314
17Helmond Sport14338-612
18Dordrecht14338-1612
19Jong Utrecht14329-1111
20FC Eindhoven14329-1311

More Eerste Divisie predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vitesse vs Jong AZ?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Vitesse vs Jong AZ?

On our numbers Vitesse have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Jong AZ 33%.

How many goals will there be in Vitesse vs Jong AZ?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vitesse vs Jong AZ?

Our predicted score is Vitesse 1–1 Jong AZ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Vitesse vs Jong AZ?

Vitesse vs Jong AZ (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at GelreDome.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.