Vitesse 45%Draw 22%Jong AZ 33%Expected goals 1.88 – 1.55
67%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultVitesse to win ✓45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.27
Vitesse vs Jong AZ: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Friday 27 February: Vitesse v Jong AZ in the Eerste Divisie, played at GelreDome. In the table, Vitesse are 15th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Jong AZ are 19th (in the drop zone) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vitesse 1.9 xG, Jong AZ 1.5 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vitesse 45%, draw 22%, Jong AZ 33%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vitesse 1–1 Jong AZ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vitesse45%fair 2.24 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.75
Jong AZ33%fair 3.03 · @3.10
3.43Expected goals
1.88Vitesse xG
1.55Jong AZ xG
67%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%
From our goals model: Vitesse 1.9 – 1.5 Jong AZ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Vitesse
Jong AZ
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-12%
+20%
Goals conceded vs average
-16%
+26%
Our expected goals here
2.01
1.59
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vitesse to win✓
45%
2.24
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.49
1.40
Draw no bet
Vitesse (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Jong AZ +1 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
First team to score
Vitesse to score first✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vitesse / FT Vitesse✓
28%
3.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.27
–
Recent results
Vitesse – last 1
L
20 Feb
@ Willem II
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Jong AZ – last 2
DW
23 Feb
vs Den Bosch
2–2
D
13 Feb
@ FC OSS
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vitesse and Jong AZ.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Vitesse vs Jong AZ?
On our numbers Vitesse have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Jong AZ 33%.
How many goals will there be in Vitesse vs Jong AZ?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitesse vs Jong AZ?
Our predicted score is Vitesse 1–1 Jong AZ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Vitesse vs Jong AZ?
Vitesse vs Jong AZ (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at GelreDome.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.