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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

ADO Den Haag v VVV Venlo: numbers & prediction

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Bingoal Stadion
1–0
FT
ADO Den Haag 63%Draw 19%VVV Venlo 18% Expected goals 2.14 – 1.31
68%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.35Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.67 – our chance 64% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultADO Den Haag to win ✓63% · @1.25
Double chanceADO Den Haag or draw ✓82% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49

ADO Den Haag vs VVV Venlo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

VVV Venlo travel to face ADO Den Haag on Friday 27 February in the Eerste Divisie, with Bingoal Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.

Current form

ADO Den Haag, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Willem II, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give ADO Den Haag 2.1 xG, VVV Venlo 1.3 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – ADO Den Haag 63%, draw 19%, VVV Venlo 18%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.67 – the bookmaker implies 60%, our ratings say 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: ADO Den Haag 2–1 VVV Venlo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

ADO Den Haag63%fair 1.60 · @1.25
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @6.20
VVV Venlo18%fair 5.46 · @9.50
3.45Expected goals
2.14ADO Den Haag xG
1.31VVV Venlo xG
64%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: ADO Den Haag 2.1 – 1.3 VVV Venlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

ADO Den HaagVVV Venlo
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average+14%+27%
Goals conceded vs average-23%-4%
Our expected goals here1.971.55

Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultADO Den Haag to win ✓63%1.601.25
Double chanceADO Den Haag or draw ✓82%1.221.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.561.67 ▲
Draw no betADO Den Haag (draw no bet) ✓77%1.29–
Asian handicapVVV Venlo +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗86%1.161.09
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68%1.461.35
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓53%1.901.85
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓71%1.411.38
First team to scoreADO Den Haag to score first ✓60%1.66–
Half-time resultADO Den Haag ahead at half-time ✓43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT ADO Den Haag / FT ADO Den Haag ✓36%2.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.49–

Recent results

ADO Den Haag – last 3

WWW
24 Feb@ Willem II1–0W
20 Feb@ Helmond Sport3–1W
13 Febvs MVV3–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

VVV Venlo – last 1

D
20 Febvs FC OSS1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between ADO Den Haag and VVV Venlo.

ADO Den Haag vs VVV Venlo head-to-head page →

Eerste Divisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Heracles141121+2935
2VVV Venlo14923+1529
3Almere City FC14914+1628
4NAC Breda14743+525
5Roda14743+125
6Emmen14815025
7FC Volendam14716+922
8MVV14626-1020
9Den Bosch14545+219
10Vitesse13535-118
11Waalwijk14383+317
12Jong AZ14527+217
13Jong PSV U2114455-417
14Jong Ajax14446-816
15De Graafschap13436-1015
16FC OSS14428-314
17Helmond Sport14338-612
18Dordrecht14338-1612
19Jong Utrecht14329-1111
20FC Eindhoven14329-1311

More Eerste Divisie predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ADO Den Haag vs VVV Venlo?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win ADO Den Haag vs VVV Venlo?

On our numbers ADO Den Haag have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and VVV Venlo 18%.

How many goals will there be in ADO Den Haag vs VVV Venlo?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for ADO Den Haag vs VVV Venlo?

Our predicted score is ADO Den Haag 2–1 VVV Venlo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is ADO Den Haag vs VVV Venlo?

ADO Den Haag vs VVV Venlo (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Bingoal Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.