Emmen 32%Draw 24%Willem II 44%Expected goals 1.33 – 1.76
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Willem II to win @ 2.55 – our chance 44% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultWillem II to win ✓44% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.67
Emmen vs Willem II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Emmen welcome Willem II to De Oude Meerdijk for a Eerste Divisie fixture on Friday 27 February (20:00 WAT).
Current form
Emmen, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Jong Ajax, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Willem II, last 3: LWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to ADO Den Haag, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Willem II, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Emmen.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Emmen 1.3 xG, Willem II 1.8 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 66% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Emmen 32%, draw 24%, Willem II 44%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.48.
Price worth noting: Willem II to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Emmen 1–1 Willem II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Emmen32%fair 3.15 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.40
Willem II44%fair 2.25 · @2.55
3.09Expected goals
1.33Emmen xG
1.76Willem II xG
66%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Emmen 1.3 – 1.8 Willem II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Emmen
Willem II
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-3%
+5%
Goals conceded vs average
+15%
-28%
Our expected goals here
1.26
1.92
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Willem II to win✓
44%
2.25
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.52
1.48
Draw no bet
Willem II (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Emmen +1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
First team to score
Willem II to score first✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Willem II / FT Willem II✓
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.67
–
Recent results
Emmen – last 3
DLL
23 Feb
vs Jong Ajax
0–0
D
20 Feb
vs Jong PSV U21
2–3
L
13 Feb
@ Dordrecht
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Willem II – last 3
LWD
24 Feb
vs ADO Den Haag
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Vitesse
3–0
W
16 Feb
@ Jong Utrecht
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Emmen and Willem II.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Emmen vs Willem II?
On our numbers Emmen have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Willem II 44%.
How many goals will there be in Emmen vs Willem II?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Emmen vs Willem II?
Our predicted score is Emmen 1–1 Willem II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Emmen vs Willem II?
Emmen vs Willem II (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at De Oude Meerdijk.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
ADO Den Haag1
Cambuur2