Athletic Club vs Celta Vigo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Athletic Club v Celta Vigo in the La Liga, played at Estadio de San Mamés. In the table, Athletic Club are 7th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; Celta Vigo are 11th (lower half) with 13. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Athletic Club, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Espanyol, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Celta Vigo, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Levante, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Athletic Club 1.5 xG, Celta Vigo 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Athletic Club 48%, draw 26%, Celta Vigo 26%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Athletic Club 1–0 Celta Vigo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Athletic Club48%fair 2.10 · @2.14
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.20
Celta Vigo26%fair 3.81 · @3.45
2.50Expected goals
1.55Athletic Club xG
0.95Celta Vigo xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Athletic Club 1.5 – 1.0 Celta Vigo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Athletic Club to win✗
48%
2.10
2.14
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.83
Draw no bet
Athletic Club (draw no bet)
65%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Celta Vigo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.08
First team to score
Athletic Club to score first✗
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Athletic Club / FT Athletic Club✗
31%
3.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.68
–
Recent results
Athletic Club – last 6
LLWLLW
13 May
@ Espanyol
0–2
L
10 May
vs Valencia
0–1
L
21 Apr
vs Osasuna
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Getafe
0–2
L
4 Mar
@ Real Sociedad
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Elche
2–1
W
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Celta Vigo – last 6
LWLLLW
12 May
vs Levante
2–3
L
3 May
vs Elche
3–1
W
22 Apr
@ Barcelona
0–1
L
16 Apr
vs SC Freiburg
1–3
L
9 Apr
@ SC Freiburg
0–3
L
5 Apr
@ Valencia
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Athletic Club and Celta Vigo.
What is the prediction for Athletic Club vs Celta Vigo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Athletic Club vs Celta Vigo?
On our numbers Athletic Club have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Celta Vigo 26%.
How many goals will there be in Athletic Club vs Celta Vigo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Athletic Club vs Celta Vigo?
Our predicted score is Athletic Club 1–0 Celta Vigo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Athletic Club vs Celta Vigo?
Athletic Club vs Celta Vigo (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de San Mamés.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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