Atletico Madrid vs Girona: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Girona travel to face Atletico Madrid on Sunday 17 May in the La Liga, with Riyadh Air Metropolitano the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT.
Current form
Atletico Madrid, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Osasuna, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Girona, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Real Sociedad, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Madrid 1.7 xG, Girona 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Madrid 57%, draw 24%, Girona 19%.
Lower-risk option: Atletico Madrid or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Madrid 1–1 Girona. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Madrid57%fair 1.75 · @1.72
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.70
Girona19%fair 5.26 · @4.55
2.68Expected goals
1.74Atletico Madrid xG
0.94Girona xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Atletico Madrid 1.7 – 0.9 Girona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Madrid to win✓
57%
1.75
1.72
Double chance
Atletico Madrid or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.67
Draw no bet
Atletico Madrid (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Girona +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.15
First team to score
Atletico Madrid to score first✓
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Madrid / FT Atletico Madrid✓
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
Atletico Madrid – last 6
WLDLLW
12 May
@ Osasuna
2–1
W
5 May
@ Arsenal
0–1
L
29 Apr
vs Arsenal
1–1
D
22 Apr
@ Elche
2–3
L
14 Apr
vs Barcelona
1–2
L
8 Apr
@ Barcelona
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Girona – last 6
DDLLDW
14 May
vs Real Sociedad
1–1
D
11 May
@ Rayo Vallecano
1–1
D
1 May
vs Mallorca
0–1
L
21 Apr
vs Real Betis
2–3
L
10 Apr
@ Real Madrid
1–1
D
6 Apr
vs Villarreal
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Madrid and Girona.
What is the prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Girona?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Girona?
On our numbers Atletico Madrid have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Girona 19%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Madrid vs Girona?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Madrid vs Girona?
Our predicted score is Atletico Madrid 1–1 Girona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Atletico Madrid vs Girona?
Atletico Madrid vs Girona (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Riyadh Air Metropolitano.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mallorca0
Oviedo0