Osasuna v Espanyol Prediction & Expected Goals (17 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultOsasuna to win ✗42% · @2.14

Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.00

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.85

Osasuna vs Espanyol: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 17 May the La Liga brings Osasuna against Espanyol at Estadio El Sadar. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Osasuna are 16th, lower half, on 12 points after 12 matches; Espanyol are 13th (lower half) with 12. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Osasuna, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Atletico Madrid, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Espanyol, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Athletic Club, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Espanyol, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Osasuna.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Osasuna 1.3 xG, Espanyol 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Osasuna 42%, draw 28%, Espanyol 31%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Espanyol to win @3.85 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 31%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Osasuna 1–1 Espanyol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Osasuna42%fair 2.41 · @2.14

Draw28%fair 3.59 · @2.92

Espanyol31%fair 3.26 · @3.85

2.52Expected goals

1.33Osasuna xG

1.20Espanyol xG

56%Both score

43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–011%

0–110%

2–18%

0–08%

1–28%

From our goals model: Osasuna 1.3 – 1.2 Espanyol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Osasuna to win ✗	42%	2.41	2.14
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	72%	1.39	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	56%	1.79	2.00 ▲
Draw no bet	Osasuna (draw no bet) ✗	58%	1.74	–
Asian handicap	Espanyol +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	60%	1.66	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	68%	1.46	1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	57%	1.76	1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	89%	1.12	1.05
First team to score	Osasuna to score first ✗	48%	2.07	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	44%	2.28	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Osasuna / FT Osasuna ✗	23%	4.36	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	11.85	–

Osasuna – last 6

LLLDDL

12 May	vs Atletico Madrid	1–2	L
8 May	@ Levante	2–3	L
21 Apr	@ Athletic Club	0–1	L
12 Apr	vs Real Betis	1–1	D
5 Apr	@ Alaves	2–2	D
1 Mar	@ Valencia	0–1	L

1.0Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Espanyol – last 6

WDLLDD

13 May	vs Athletic Club	2–0	W
27 Apr	vs Levante	0–0	D
23 Apr	@ Rayo Vallecano	0–1	L
15 Mar	@ Mallorca	1–2	L
9 Mar	vs Oviedo	1–1	D
1 Mar	@ Elche	2–2	D

1.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	12	11	0	1	+35	33
2	Real Madrid	12	10	0	2	+21	30
3	Atletico Madrid	12	9	1	2	+13	28
4	Real Betis	12	8	2	2	+5	26
5	Real Sociedad	12	7	1	4	+1	22
6	Sevilla	12	5	3	4	-2	18
7	Athletic Club	11	4	4	3	+4	16
8	Villarreal	12	4	3	5	+2	15
9	Deportivo La Coruna	12	3	6	3	+1	15
10	Racing Santander	12	4	2	6	-13	14
11	Celta Vigo	12	2	7	3	0	13
12	Alaves	12	3	4	5	-2	13
13	Espanyol	12	3	3	6	-1	12
14	Rayo Vallecano	11	3	3	5	-6	12
15	Getafe	12	3	3	6	-10	12
16	Osasuna	12	3	3	6	-11	12
17	Levante	12	2	5	5	-5	11
18	Elche	12	2	4	6	-6	10
19	Valencia	12	2	3	7	-12	9
20	Malaga	12	0	5	7	-14	5

Team

Pts

+35

+21

+13

-2

-13

-2

-1

-6

-10

-11

-5

-6

-12

-14

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Osasuna vs Espanyol?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Osasuna vs Espanyol?

On our numbers Osasuna have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Espanyol 31%.

How many goals will there be in Osasuna vs Espanyol?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Osasuna vs Espanyol?

Our predicted score is Osasuna 1–1 Espanyol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Osasuna vs Espanyol?

Osasuna vs Espanyol (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Sadar.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Osasuna v Espanyol: numbers & prediction