Real Sociedad vs Valencia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 17 May the La Liga brings Real Sociedad against Valencia at Reale Arena. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Real Sociedad are 5th, upper half, on 22 points after 12 matches; Valencia are 19th (in the drop zone) with 9. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Real Sociedad, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Girona, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Valencia, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Rayo Vallecano, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Sociedad 1.8 xG, Valencia 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Sociedad 48%, draw 24%, Valencia 28%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Sociedad 1–1 Valencia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Sociedad48%fair 2.07 · @2.12
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.45
Valencia28%fair 3.56 · @3.20
2.94Expected goals
1.75Real Sociedad xG
1.19Valencia xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Real Sociedad 1.8 – 1.2 Valencia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Sociedad to win✗
48%
2.07
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.65
Draw no bet
Real Sociedad (draw no bet)✗
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Valencia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
1.13
First team to score
Real Sociedad to score first
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Sociedad / FT Real Sociedad✗
31%
3.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.37
–
Recent results
Real Sociedad – last 6
DLDLWL
14 May
@ Girona
1–1
D
4 May
@ Sevilla
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ Rayo Vallecano
3–3
D
22 Apr
vs Getafe
0–1
L
4 Apr
vs Levante
2–0
W
20 Mar
@ Villarreal
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Valencia – last 6
DWDLWL
14 May
vs Rayo Vallecano
1–1
D
10 May
@ Athletic Club
1–0
W
21 Apr
@ Mallorca
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Celta Vigo
2–3
L
1 Mar
vs Osasuna
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Villarreal
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Sociedad and Valencia.
What is the prediction for Real Sociedad vs Valencia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Real Sociedad vs Valencia?
On our numbers Real Sociedad have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Valencia 28%.
How many goals will there be in Real Sociedad vs Valencia?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Sociedad vs Valencia?
Our predicted score is Real Sociedad 1–1 Valencia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Real Sociedad vs Valencia?
Real Sociedad vs Valencia (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Reale Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Girona0
Mallorca0
Oviedo0