18:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Oviedo v Alaves in the La Liga, played at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere.
Current form
Oviedo, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Real Madrid, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Alaves, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Barcelona, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Alaves, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Oviedo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Oviedo 1.2 xG, Alaves 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Oviedo 27%, draw 25%, Alaves 48%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oviedo 1–1 Alaves. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Oviedo27%fair 3.70 · @3.75
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.60
Alaves48%fair 2.09 · @1.90
2.72Expected goals
1.22Oviedo xG
1.50Alaves xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Oviedo 1.2 – 1.5 Alaves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alaves to win✓
48%
2.09
1.90
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.73 ▲
Draw no bet
Alaves (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Oviedo +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.12
First team to score
Alaves to score first✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alaves / FT Alaves✓
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.06
–
Recent results
Oviedo – last 6
LDWDLD
14 May
@ Real Madrid
0–2
L
23 Apr
vs Villarreal
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Sevilla
1–0
W
9 Mar
@ Espanyol
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Rayo Vallecano
0–3
L
21 Feb
@ Real Sociedad
3–3
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Alaves – last 6
WDLDWD
13 May
vs Barcelona
1–0
W
9 May
@ Elche
1–1
D
21 Apr
@ Real Madrid
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Osasuna
2–2
D
22 Mar
@ Celta Vigo
4–3
W
13 Mar
vs Villarreal
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oviedo and Alaves.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Oviedo vs Alaves?
On our numbers Oviedo have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Alaves 48%.
How many goals will there be in Oviedo vs Alaves?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oviedo vs Alaves?
Our predicted score is Oviedo 1–1 Alaves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Oviedo vs Alaves?
Oviedo vs Alaves (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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