Elche v Getafe Prediction & Expected Goals (17 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultElche to win ✓43% · @2.26

Double chanceElche or draw ✓72% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.10

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.66

Elche vs Getafe: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Getafe travel to face Elche on Sunday 17 May in the La Liga, with Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Elche are 18th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 12 matches; Getafe are 15th (lower half) with 12. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Elche, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Real Betis, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Getafe, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Mallorca, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Getafe, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.7 for Elche.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Elche 1.3 xG, Getafe 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Elche 43%, draw 29%, Getafe 28%.
Lower-risk option: Elche or draw (72%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Elche or draw (72%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Elche 1–0 Getafe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Elche43%fair 2.31 · @2.26

Draw29%fair 3.46 · @2.85

Getafe28%fair 3.60 · @3.65

2.31Expected goals

1.32Elche xG

0.98Getafe xG

54%Both score

38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%

1–113%

0–010%

0–110%

2–09%

2–19%

From our goals model: Elche 1.3 – 1.0 Getafe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Elche to win ✓	43%	2.31	2.26
Double chance	Elche or draw ✓	72%	1.38	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	54%	1.84	2.10 ▲
Draw no bet	Elche (draw no bet) ✓	61%	1.64	–
Asian handicap	Getafe +1 (Asian handicap)	73%	1.37	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	64%	1.56	1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	62%	1.62	1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	80%	1.24	1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	1.04
First team to score	Elche to score first ✓	52%	1.94	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	46%	2.18	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Elche / FT Elche ✓	26%	3.87	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.66	–

Elche – last 6

LDLWLL

12 May	@ Real Betis	1–2	L
9 May	vs Alaves	1–1	D
3 May	@ Celta Vigo	1–3	L
22 Apr	vs Atletico Madrid	3–2	W
3 Apr	@ Rayo Vallecano	0–1	L
8 Mar	@ Villarreal	1–2	L

1.2Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Getafe – last 6

WWLWWW

13 May	vs Mallorca	3–1	W
22 Apr	@ Real Sociedad	1–0	W
13 Apr	@ Levante	0–1	L
5 Apr	vs Athletic Club	2–0	W
8 Mar	vs Real Betis	2–0	W
2 Mar	@ Real Madrid	1–0	W

1.5Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	12	11	0	1	+35	33
2	Real Madrid	12	10	0	2	+21	30
3	Atletico Madrid	12	9	1	2	+13	28
4	Real Betis	12	8	2	2	+5	26
5	Real Sociedad	12	7	1	4	+1	22
6	Sevilla	12	5	3	4	-2	18
7	Athletic Club	11	4	4	3	+4	16
8	Villarreal	12	4	3	5	+2	15
9	Deportivo La Coruna	12	3	6	3	+1	15
10	Racing Santander	12	4	2	6	-13	14
11	Celta Vigo	12	2	7	3	0	13
12	Alaves	12	3	4	5	-2	13
13	Espanyol	12	3	3	6	-1	12
14	Rayo Vallecano	11	3	3	5	-6	12
15	Getafe	12	3	3	6	-10	12
16	Osasuna	12	3	3	6	-11	12
17	Levante	12	2	5	5	-5	11
18	Elche	12	2	4	6	-6	10
19	Valencia	12	2	3	7	-12	9
20	Malaga	12	0	5	7	-14	5

Team

Pts

+35

+21

+13

-2

-13

-2

-1

-6

-10

-11

-5

-6

-12

-14

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Elche vs Getafe?

Our pick is Elche or draw with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Elche vs Getafe?

On our numbers Elche have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Getafe 28%.

How many goals will there be in Elche vs Getafe?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Elche vs Getafe?

Our predicted score is Elche 1–0 Getafe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Elche vs Getafe?

Elche vs Getafe (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Elche v Getafe: numbers & prediction