Palermo v Catanzaro Prediction & Expected Goals (1 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPalermo to win ✓65% · @1.56

Double chancePalermo or draw ✓85% · @1.14

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23

Palermo vs Catanzaro: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 1 May the Serie B brings Palermo against Catanzaro at Stadio Renzo Barbera. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Palermo are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 11 matches; Catanzaro are 20th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Palermo, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Frosinone, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Catanzaro, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Spezia, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Palermo 2.3 xG, Catanzaro 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Palermo 65%, draw 19%, Catanzaro 15%.
Lower-risk option: Palermo or draw (85%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Palermo 2–0 Catanzaro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Palermo65%fair 1.53 · @1.56

Draw19%fair 5.15 · @4.00

Catanzaro15%fair 6.55 · @5.50

3.25Expected goals

2.28Palermo xG

0.97Catanzaro xG

58%Both score

60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%

2–110%

1–09%

1–19%

3–08%

3–17%

From our goals model: Palermo 2.3 – 1.0 Catanzaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Palermo to win ✓	65%	1.53	1.56
Double chance	Palermo or draw ✓	85%	1.18	1.14
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	58%	1.74	1.67
Draw no bet	Palermo (draw no bet) ✓	81%	1.23	–
Asian handicap	Palermo -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	67%	1.50	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	80%	1.24	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	60%	1.66	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	62%	1.63	1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	79%	1.27	1.18
First team to score	Palermo to score first	67%	1.48	–
Half-time result	Palermo ahead at half-time ✗	49%	2.03	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Palermo / FT Palermo ✗	44%	2.27	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.23	–

Palermo – last 6

DWDWWL

10 Apr	@ Frosinone	1–1	D
5 Apr	vs Avellino	2–0	W
17 Mar	vs Juve Stabia	2–2	D
8 Mar	@ Carrarese	1–0	W
4 Mar	vs Mantova	2–1	W
1 Mar	@ Pescara	1–2	L

1.5Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Catanzaro – last 6

WDDWDD

25 Apr	vs Spezia	4–2	W
14 Apr	vs Modena	2–2	D
6 Apr	vs Monza	1–1	D
8 Mar	vs Empoli	3–2	W
4 Mar	@ Carrarese	3–3	D
1 Mar	vs Frosinone	2–2	D

2.5Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

100%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palermo	11	8	3	0	+12	27
2	Modena	11	7	2	2	+10	23
3	Ascoli	11	5	5	1	+10	20
4	Mantova	11	5	4	2	+4	19
5	Avellino	11	4	4	3	+5	16
6	Benevento	11	4	4	3	+4	16
7	Hellas Verona	11	4	4	3	+6	16
8	Pisa	11	4	4	3	+3	16
9	Cremonese	11	4	3	4	+2	15
10	Padova	11	4	3	4	-1	15
11	Cesena	11	3	6	2	-2	15
12	Sudtirol	11	3	6	2	+1	15
13	Juve Stabia	11	4	4	3	+1	12
14	Arezzo	11	3	2	6	-11	11
15	Sampdoria	11	3	2	6	-7	11
16	Virtus Entella	11	2	4	5	-3	10
17	Carrarese	11	3	1	7	-5	10
18	Vicenza Virtus	11	2	3	6	-10	9
19	Empoli	11	2	3	6	-7	9
20	Catanzaro	11	1	3	7	-12	6

Team

Pts

+12

+10

+10

-1

-2

-11

-7

-3

-5

-10

-7

-12

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Palermo vs Catanzaro?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Palermo vs Catanzaro?

On our numbers Palermo have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Catanzaro 15%.

How many goals will there be in Palermo vs Catanzaro?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Palermo vs Catanzaro?

Our predicted score is Palermo 2–0 Catanzaro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Palermo vs Catanzaro?

Palermo vs Catanzaro (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Renzo Barbera.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Palermo v Catanzaro: numbers & prediction