Sampdoria v Sudtirol Prediction & Expected Goals (1 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSampdoria to win ✓41% · @2.14

Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.40

Sampdoria vs Sudtirol: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 1 May the Serie B brings Sampdoria against Sudtirol at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Sampdoria are 15th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; Sudtirol are 12th (lower half) with 15.

Current form

Sampdoria, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Monza, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Sudtirol, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cesena, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sampdoria 1.2 xG, Sudtirol 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sampdoria 41%, draw 27%, Sudtirol 32%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Sudtirol to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sampdoria 1–1 Sudtirol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sampdoria41%fair 2.44 · @2.14

Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.30

Sudtirol32%fair 3.13 · @3.40

2.35Expected goals

1.23Sampdoria xG

1.12Sudtirol xG

57%Both score

45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–012%

0–111%

0–010%

2–18%

1–27%

From our goals model: Sampdoria 1.2 – 1.1 Sudtirol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sampdoria to win ✓	41%	2.44	2.14
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	73%	1.37	1.28
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	57%	1.76	1.73
Draw no bet	Sampdoria (draw no bet) ✓	56%	1.78	–
Asian handicap	Sudtirol +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	61%	1.63	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	70%	1.44	1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	55%	1.80	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	76%	1.31	1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	88%	1.13	1.10
First team to score	Sampdoria to score first ✓	47%	2.12	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	46%	2.19	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Sampdoria / FT Sampdoria ✓	22%	4.54	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.40	–

Sampdoria – last 6

LWWLLD

17 Apr	vs Monza	0–3	L
6 Apr	vs Empoli	1–0	W
22 Mar	vs Avellino	2–1	W
18 Mar	@ Carrarese	0–2	L
8 Mar	@ Frosinone	0–3	L
4 Mar	@ Juve Stabia	1–1	D

0.7Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Sudtirol – last 6

DLLDWL

6 Apr	@ Cesena	1–1	D
22 Mar	vs Frosinone	1–3	L
18 Mar	@ Avellino	2–3	L
15 Mar	vs Pescara	0–0	D
3 Mar	@ Reggiana	4–0	W
21 Feb	@ Palermo	0–3	L

1.3Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palermo	11	8	3	0	+12	27
2	Modena	11	7	2	2	+10	23
3	Ascoli	11	5	5	1	+10	20
4	Mantova	11	5	4	2	+4	19
5	Avellino	11	4	4	3	+5	16
6	Benevento	11	4	4	3	+4	16
7	Hellas Verona	11	4	4	3	+6	16
8	Pisa	11	4	4	3	+3	16
9	Cremonese	11	4	3	4	+2	15
10	Padova	11	4	3	4	-1	15
11	Cesena	11	3	6	2	-2	15
12	Sudtirol	11	3	6	2	+1	15
13	Juve Stabia	11	4	4	3	+1	12
14	Arezzo	11	3	2	6	-11	11
15	Sampdoria	11	3	2	6	-7	11
16	Virtus Entella	11	2	4	5	-3	10
17	Carrarese	11	3	1	7	-5	10
18	Vicenza Virtus	11	2	3	6	-10	9
19	Empoli	11	2	3	6	-7	9
20	Catanzaro	11	1	3	7	-12	6

Team

Pts

+12

+10

+10

-1

-2

-11

-7

-3

-5

-10

-7

-12

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sampdoria vs Sudtirol?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Sampdoria vs Sudtirol?

On our numbers Sampdoria have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sudtirol 32%.

How many goals will there be in Sampdoria vs Sudtirol?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sampdoria vs Sudtirol?

Our predicted score is Sampdoria 1–1 Sudtirol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Sampdoria vs Sudtirol?

Sampdoria vs Sudtirol (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Luigi Ferraris.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Sampdoria v Sudtirol: numbers & prediction