Carrarese vs Cesena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Carrarese welcome Cesena to Stadio dei Marmi for a Serie B fixture on Friday 1 May (14:00 WAT). In the table, Carrarese are 17th, lower half, on 10 points after 11 matches; Cesena are 11th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Carrarese, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Pescara, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Cesena, last 4: DLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sudtirol, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Carrarese, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for Cesena.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Carrarese 1.3 xG, Cesena 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Carrarese 41%, draw 27%, Cesena 31%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Carrarese 1–1 Cesena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Carrarese41%fair 2.42 · @2.26
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @3.30
Cesena31%fair 3.20 · @3.05
2.45Expected goals
1.33Carrarese xG
1.11Cesena xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Carrarese 1.3 – 1.1 Cesena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Carrarese to win✗
41%
2.42
2.26
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.38
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.62
Draw no bet
Carrarese (draw no bet)
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Cesena +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.12
First team to score
Carrarese to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Carrarese / FT Carrarese✗
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.66
–
Recent results
Carrarese – last 6
DWWWLD
19 Apr
vs Pescara
2–2
D
6 Apr
vs Spezia
3–1
W
22 Mar
@ Bari
3–0
W
18 Mar
vs Sampdoria
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Palermo
0–1
L
4 Mar
vs Catanzaro
3–3
D
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cesena – last 4
DLLL
6 Apr
vs Sudtirol
1–1
D
17 Mar
@ Mantova
0–3
L
3 Mar
vs Monza
1–3
L
21 Feb
vs Spezia
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Carrarese and Cesena.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Carrarese vs Cesena?
On our numbers Carrarese have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Cesena 31%.
How many goals will there be in Carrarese vs Cesena?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carrarese vs Cesena?
Our predicted score is Carrarese 1–1 Cesena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Carrarese vs Cesena?
Carrarese vs Cesena (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio dei Marmi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Frosinone1
Spezia2
Venezia2
Monza2
Reggiana1
Bari2