Spezia v Venezia Prediction & Expected Goals (1 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultVenezia to win ✗45% · @1.75

Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.60

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.77

Spezia vs Venezia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Venezia travel to face Spezia on Friday 1 May in the Serie B, with Stadio Alberto Picco the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.

Current form

Spezia, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Catanzaro, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Venezia, last 4: WWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Juve Stabia, at home. 3.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Venezia, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.8 for Spezia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Spezia 1.5 xG, Venezia 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Spezia 32%, draw 23%, Venezia 45%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Spezia to win @4.20 – the bookmaker implies 24%, our ratings say 32%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spezia 1–1 Venezia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Spezia32%fair 3.13 · @4.20

Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.85

Venezia45%fair 2.22 · @1.75

2.88Expected goals

1.53Spezia xG

1.35Venezia xG

62%Both score

56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

2–19%

1–09%

1–28%

0–18%

2–07%

From our goals model: Spezia 1.5 – 1.4 Venezia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Venezia to win ✗	45%	2.22	1.75
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	77%	1.30	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	62%	1.61	1.60
Draw no bet	Venezia (draw no bet)	59%	1.71	–
Asian handicap	Venezia +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	74%	1.35	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	56%	1.78	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	66%	1.52	1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	82%	1.22	1.18
First team to score	Spezia to score first ✗	50%	1.99	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	41%	2.46	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Spezia / FT Spezia ✗	25%	4.05	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	12.77	–

Spezia – last 6

LLDLDW

25 Apr	@ Catanzaro	2–4	L
6 Apr	@ Carrarese	1–3	L
17 Mar	vs Empoli	1–1	D
13 Mar	@ Modena	0–3	L
3 Mar	@ Padova	2–2	D
21 Feb	@ Cesena	3–2	W

1.5Scored / game

2.5Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Venezia – last 4

WWWW

6 Apr	vs Juve Stabia	3–1	W
17 Mar	vs Padova	3–1	W
3 Mar	vs Avellino	4–0	W
21 Feb	vs Pescara	3–2	W

3.3Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

75%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spezia vs Venezia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Spezia vs Venezia?

On our numbers Spezia have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Venezia 45%.

How many goals will there be in Spezia vs Venezia?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Spezia vs Venezia?

Our predicted score is Spezia 1–1 Venezia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Spezia vs Venezia?

Spezia vs Venezia (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Alberto Picco.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Spezia v Venezia: numbers & prediction

Spezia

Venezia

Over 1.5 goals