Mantova welcome Monza to Stadio Danilo Martelli for a Serie B fixture on Friday 1 May (14:00 WAT).
Current form
Mantova, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Virtus Entella, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Monza, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Modena, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mantova 1.4 xG, Monza 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mantova 29%, draw 25%, Monza 47%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mantova 1–1 Monza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mantova29%fair 3.51 · @4.60
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.60
Monza47%fair 2.13 · @1.74
2.85Expected goals
1.40Mantova xG
1.45Monza xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Mantova 1.4 – 1.5 Monza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monza to win✗
47%
2.13
1.74
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.77 ▲
Draw no bet
Monza (draw no bet)✗
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Mantova +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.18
1.11
First team to score
Monza to score first✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monza / FT Monza✗
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.73
–
Recent results
Mantova – last 6
WWWLDW
6 Apr
vs Virtus Entella
1–0
W
17 Mar
vs Cesena
3–0
W
8 Mar
vs Juve Stabia
2–0
W
4 Mar
@ Palermo
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Carrarese
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Sampdoria
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Monza – last 6
WWDDWW
24 Apr
vs Modena
1–0
W
17 Apr
@ Sampdoria
3–0
W
6 Apr
@ Catanzaro
1–1
D
17 Mar
@ Reggiana
0–0
D
3 Mar
@ Cesena
3–1
W
27 Feb
vs Virtus Entella
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mantova and Monza.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Mantova vs Monza?
On our numbers Mantova have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Monza 47%.
How many goals will there be in Mantova vs Monza?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mantova vs Monza?
Our predicted score is Mantova 1–1 Monza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Mantova vs Monza?
Mantova vs Monza (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Danilo Martelli.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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