Modena v Reggiana Prediction & Expected Goals (1 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultModena to win ✓59% · @1.63

Double chanceModena or draw ✓83% · @1.15

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.77

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.32

Modena vs Reggiana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Reggiana travel to face Modena on Friday 1 May in the Serie B, with Stadio Alberto Braglia the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.

Current form

Modena, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Monza, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Reggiana, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Pescara, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.

Momentum favours Modena, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.6 for Reggiana.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Modena 1.7 xG, Reggiana 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Modena 59%, draw 24%, Reggiana 17%.
Lower-risk option: Modena or draw (83%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Modena 2–0 Reggiana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Modena59%fair 1.71 · @1.63

Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.85

Reggiana17%fair 5.86 · @5.10

2.61Expected goals

1.75Modena xG

0.87Reggiana xG

54%Both score

50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%

2–011%

1–111%

2–110%

0–07%

3–06%

From our goals model: Modena 1.7 – 0.9 Reggiana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Modena to win ✓	59%	1.71	1.63
Double chance	Modena or draw ✓	83%	1.21	1.15
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	54%	1.84	1.77
Draw no bet	Modena (draw no bet) ✓	77%	1.29	–
Asian handicap	Reggiana +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	67%	1.49	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	74%	1.35	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	50%	2.00	1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	71%	1.40	1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	86%	1.17	1.12
First team to score	Modena to score first ✓	62%	1.62	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	42%	2.40	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Modena / FT Modena ✓	36%	2.77	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	10%	10.32	–

Modena – last 6

LDLWLW

24 Apr	@ Monza	0–1	L
14 Apr	@ Catanzaro	2–2	D
6 Apr	@ Bari	1–3	L
13 Mar	vs Spezia	3–0	W
3 Mar	@ Virtus Entella	1–2	L
22 Feb	@ Juve Stabia	2–1	W

1.5Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Reggiana – last 5

LDLDD

6 Apr	vs Pescara	1–3	L
17 Mar	vs Monza	0–0	D
3 Mar	vs Sudtirol	0–4	L
22 Feb	vs Avellino	1–1	D
15 Feb	@ Empoli	1–1	D

0.6Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

60%Both scored

40%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palermo	11	8	3	0	+12	27
2	Modena	11	7	2	2	+10	23
3	Ascoli	11	5	5	1	+10	20
4	Mantova	11	5	4	2	+4	19
5	Avellino	11	4	4	3	+5	16
6	Benevento	11	4	4	3	+4	16
7	Hellas Verona	11	4	4	3	+6	16
8	Pisa	11	4	4	3	+3	16
9	Cremonese	11	4	3	4	+2	15
10	Padova	11	4	3	4	-1	15
11	Cesena	11	3	6	2	-2	15
12	Sudtirol	11	3	6	2	+1	15
13	Juve Stabia	11	4	4	3	+1	12
14	Arezzo	11	3	2	6	-11	11
15	Sampdoria	11	3	2	6	-7	11
16	Virtus Entella	11	2	4	5	-3	10
17	Carrarese	11	3	1	7	-5	10
18	Vicenza Virtus	11	2	3	6	-10	9
19	Empoli	11	2	3	6	-7	9
20	Catanzaro	11	1	3	7	-12	6

Team

Pts

+12

+10

+10

-1

-2

-11

-7

-3

-5

-10

-7

-12

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Modena vs Reggiana?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Modena vs Reggiana?

On our numbers Modena have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Reggiana 17%.

How many goals will there be in Modena vs Reggiana?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Modena vs Reggiana?

Our predicted score is Modena 2–0 Reggiana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Modena vs Reggiana?

Modena vs Reggiana (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Alberto Braglia.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Modena v Reggiana: numbers & prediction