Bari 39%Draw 28%Virtus Entella 33%Expected goals 1.31 – 0.95
78%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Bari to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBari to win ✓39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.78
Bari vs Virtus Entella: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 1 May the Serie B brings Bari against Virtus Entella at Stadio San Nicola. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Bari, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Modena, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Virtus Entella, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mantova, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Bari, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Virtus Entella.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bari 1.3 xG, Virtus Entella 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bari 39%, draw 28%, Virtus Entella 33%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Bari to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bari 1–0 Virtus Entella. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bari39%fair 2.54 · @2.80
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @3.20
Virtus Entella33%fair 3.02 · @2.50
2.25Expected goals
1.31Bari xG
0.95Virtus Entella xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Bari 1.3 – 0.9 Virtus Entella expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bari to win✓
39%
2.54
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.77
Draw no bet
Bari (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Virtus Entella +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.08
First team to score
Bari to score first✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bari / FT Bari✓
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.78
–
Recent results
Bari – last 6
WLLLWW
6 Apr
vs Modena
3–1
W
22 Mar
vs Carrarese
0–3
L
18 Mar
@ Frosinone
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Pescara
0–4
L
4 Mar
vs Empoli
2–1
W
27 Feb
@ Sampdoria
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Virtus Entella – last 6
LLLWLL
6 Apr
@ Mantova
0–1
L
18 Mar
@ Pescara
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Avellino
1–2
L
3 Mar
vs Modena
2–1
W
27 Feb
@ Monza
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs Catanzaro
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bari and Virtus Entella.
What is the prediction for Bari vs Virtus Entella?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bari vs Virtus Entella?
On our numbers Bari have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Virtus Entella 33%.
How many goals will there be in Bari vs Virtus Entella?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bari vs Virtus Entella?
Our predicted score is Bari 1–0 Virtus Entella, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Bari vs Virtus Entella?
Bari vs Virtus Entella (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio San Nicola.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Frosinone1
Spezia2
Venezia2
Monza2
Reggiana1