Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultPonferradina to win51% · @1.67
Double chancePonferradina or draw80% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–117% · fair 6.00
Arenteiro vs Ponferradina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ponferradina travel to face Arenteiro on Sunday 17 May in the Primera División RFEF Group 1, with Estadio de Espiñedo the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.
Current form
Arenteiro, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Cacereño, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Ponferradina, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Barakaldo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Ponferradina, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.2 for Arenteiro.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arenteiro 0.8 xG, Ponferradina 1.2 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arenteiro 20%, draw 30%, Ponferradina 51%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arenteiro 0–1 Ponferradina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arenteiro20%fair 5.04 · @4.75
Draw30%fair 3.38 · @3.30
Ponferradina51%fair 1.98 · @1.67
1.99Expected goals
0.77Arenteiro xG
1.21Ponferradina xG
47%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–014%
1–113%
1–011%
0–210%
1–28%
From our goals model: Arenteiro 0.8 – 1.2 Ponferradina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Arenteiro
Ponferradina
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 1 average
-18%
-33%
Goals conceded vs average
+23%
-37%
Our expected goals here
0.72
0.89
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ponferradina to win
51%
1.98
1.67
Double chance
Ponferradina or draw
80%
1.25
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
53%
1.89
1.62
Draw no bet
Ponferradina (draw no bet)
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Arenteiro +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
63%
1.60
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
64%
1.57
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
92%
1.09
1.06
First team to score
Ponferradina to score first
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ponferradina / FT Ponferradina
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
17%
6.00
–
Recent results
Arenteiro – last 5
LLLDL
3 May
vs Cacereño
0–4
L
19 Apr
vs Mérida AD
0–2
L
5 Apr
vs Arenas Getxo
1–2
L
20 Mar
vs Celta de Vigo II
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ CF Talavera
1–2
L
0.6Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Ponferradina – last 5
WDDWW
19 Apr
vs Barakaldo
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ Ourense CF
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Cacereño
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Real Madrid II
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs CF Talavera
1–0
W
0.6Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arenteiro and Ponferradina.
What is the prediction for Arenteiro vs Ponferradina?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Arenteiro vs Ponferradina?
On our numbers Arenteiro have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Ponferradina 51%.
How many goals will there be in Arenteiro vs Ponferradina?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arenteiro vs Ponferradina?
Our predicted score is Arenteiro 0–1 Ponferradina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Arenteiro vs Ponferradina?
Arenteiro vs Ponferradina (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Espiñedo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Celta de Vigo II0
CF Talavera0
Ourense CF0
Osasuna II0
Real Madrid II3
Tenerife3