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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

CF Talavera v Ourense CF: numbers & prediction

Primera División RFEF Group 1 · Spain · Estadio El Prado

CF Talavera

LDLW
0–0
–

Ourense CF

DLDLL
CF Talavera 43%Draw 27%Ourense CF 29% Expected goals 1.31 – 1.02
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultCF Talavera to win43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 11.77

CF Talavera vs Ourense CF: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 17 May the Primera División RFEF Group 1 brings CF Talavera against Ourense CF at Estadio El Prado. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.

Current form

CF Talavera, last 4: LDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Osasuna II, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Ourense CF, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Real Madrid II, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.

Momentum favours CF Talavera, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.4 for Ourense CF.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CF Talavera 1.3 xG, Ourense CF 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – CF Talavera 43%, draw 27%, Ourense CF 29%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: CF Talavera 1–1 Ourense CF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CF Talavera43%fair 2.32 · @2.10
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @3.10
Ourense CF29%fair 3.39 · @3.25
2.33Expected goals
1.31CF Talavera xG
1.02Ourense CF xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: CF Talavera 1.3 – 1.0 Ourense CF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

CF TalaveraOurense CF
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 1 average-2%-11%
Goals conceded vs average+2%-8%
Our expected goals here1.250.97

Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCF Talavera to win43%2.322.10
Double chanceEither team to win73%1.381.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score57%1.751.83
Draw no betCF Talavera (draw no bet)59%1.68–
Asian handicapOurense CF +1 (Asian handicap)74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals68%1.471.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals57%1.751.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals78%1.291.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals91%1.10–
First team to scoreCF Talavera to score first51%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT CF Talavera / FT CF Talavera25%4.01–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%11.77–

Recent results

CF Talavera – last 4

LDLW
10 May@ Osasuna II1–2L
22 Mar@ Guadalajara1–1D
20 Feb@ Ponferradina0–1L
15 Febvs Arenteiro2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Ourense CF – last 5

DLDLL
14 Apr@ Real Madrid II1–1D
5 Apr@ Real Avilés1–2L
29 Marvs Ponferradina0–0D
8 Mar@ Barakaldo0–1L
22 Feb@ Guadalajara0–1L
0.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between CF Talavera and Ourense CF.

CF Talavera vs Ourense CF head-to-head page →

More Primera División RFEF Group 1 predictions

League hub
– Arenteiro0 Ponferradina1 120%4.75X30%3.30251%1.67 0.8–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.20
– Celta de Vigo II0 Lugo1 147%1.80X25%3.30227%4.10 1.3–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.22
– Mérida AD1 Unionistas de Salamanca1 145%2.33X26%2.95229%3.00 1.6–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.20
FT Racing Ferrol0 Osasuna II0 135%2.88X29%3.25236%2.25 1.1–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.25 ✓
– Real Avilés1 Barakaldo4 142%2.80X26%3.10233%2.38 1.5–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.25
– Real Madrid II3 Arenas Getxo3 169%1.22X19%4.80212%13.00 2.1–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22
FT Tenerife3 Pontevedra0 145%2.15X27%3.20228%3.20 1.4–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓
– Zamora1 Cacereño2 139%2.60X30%2.95231%2.65 1.1–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 66%@1.40

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CF Talavera vs Ourense CF?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win CF Talavera vs Ourense CF?

On our numbers CF Talavera have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Ourense CF 29%.

How many goals will there be in CF Talavera vs Ourense CF?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CF Talavera vs Ourense CF?

Our predicted score is CF Talavera 1–1 Ourense CF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is CF Talavera vs Ourense CF?

CF Talavera vs Ourense CF (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Prado.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.